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Model picks & player props
Collingwood Magpies
VS
North Melbourne Kangaroos

Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Outdoor
Sat 24 May 2025, 9:35AM
4
Game Picks
11
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: North Melbourne Kangaroos (Head to Head)
For Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos (AFL), model win probability 59.2%, fair odds 1.69, book price +430, model edge +40.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 May 2025, 9:35AM at Marvel Stadium.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Head to Head
North Melbourne Kangaroos
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
North Melbourne KangaroosHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Magpies

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Harry Sheezel North Melbourne Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cameron Zurhaar North Melbourne Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Paul Curtis North Melbourne Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jack Darling North Melbourne Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Nick Larkey North Melbourne Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Collingwood Magpies @ North Melbourne Kangaroos — model preview

<p>Deep dive into North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Jack Darling. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies stats and odds.</p>

Jack Darling (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Darling is favored to score in the upcoming game based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and a goal accuracy of 60%, the model predicts he will continue his scoring streak. Additionally, his involvement in the forward line, averaging 4.4 score involvements and 2.6 shots at goal per game, indicates he is actively contributing to his team's attacking plays. Considering North Melbourne's vulnerability in defense, Darling has a good chance to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The bet on Jack Darling to score anytime is well-supported by his consistent goal-scoring record and significant offensive impact.

Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) Over 1.5 Goals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jamie Elliott is a strong pick to score over 1.5 goals in the upcoming away game based on his recent performance. With an average of 2.4 goals in his last 5 away games and solid marks inside 50 and shots at goal averages, Elliott is consistently involved in scoring opportunities. His goal accuracy of 46.3% in away games indicates he can convert these chances. The model's prediction of 2.1 goals aligns well with his recent form, with a 4.5% edge suggesting a favorable outcome. His current hit streak and overall performance further support his ability to exceed 1.5 goals against North Melbourne Kangaroos.

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) Over 19.5 Disposals (-385)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Caleb Daniel is a strong bet for the Over 19.5 disposals against North Melbourne Kangaroos. With a model prediction of 24.2, indicating a 3.1% edge, and a consistent performance history, he has averaged 25.4 disposals in his last 5 away games. Daniel's current hit streak of 5 away games and an impressive overall hit rate of 12/13 further support this bet. His high disposals average, coupled with reliable form, make him likely to surpass the 19.5 disposals line. Look for Daniel to maintain his solid performance and contribute significantly to Collingwood Magpies' midfield dominance in this matchup.

George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

George Wardlaw is poised to shine in the upcoming game against North Melbourne Kangaroos based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to achieve 20.3 disposals, a solid 2.2% edge, and an implied probability of 85.5%, the Over 14.5 disposals bet is enticing. His consistent performance, averaging 17.8 disposals in his last five away games and boasting a high disposal efficiency of 60.7%, indicates he is likely to surpass the line. Despite a recent turnover average of 3.2, Wardlaw's ability to cover ground with 286.6 meters gained on average further supports this bet. His strong hit rates in away games and overall history make him a reliable choice for this prop bet.

Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 19.5 Disposals (-286)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Scott Pendlebury is a reliable performer, averaging 21.4 disposals in his last five away games. His recent form, including a streak of hitting the over in 15 out of his last 20 away games, suggests he is likely to surpass the set line of 19.5 disposals against North Melbourne Kangaroos. With a model prediction of 23.1 disposals and a solid overall hit rate of 7/7, Pendlebury's consistency and impact on the field make him a strong candidate to exceed the disposals line. Additionally, his current hit streak of 2 away games and 7 overall further support the bet on Pendlebury hitting Over 19.5 disposals in this matchup.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 24 May 2025 at Marvel Stadium. The model has generated 4 game picks and 11 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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