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Model picks & player props
Connecticut Sun
VS
Washington Mystics

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 17, 1:31PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
CareFirst Arena, Washington
Indoor
Tue 28 Jul 2026, 11:30PM
5
Game markets graded
13
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 157.5 (Total Points)
The model graded 18 markets for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 61.5%, fair odds 2.04, book price -105, model edge +10.2%. Tip-off Tue 28 Jul 2026, 11:30PM at CareFirst Arena.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 157.5 · $100 returned $195

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 552 of 717 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 16
Las Vegas Aces 5.5
Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $156
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
158
-110
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OvertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OvertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OvertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Connecticut Sun

  • Hailey Van Lith GOut
  • Brittney Griner COut
  • Aaliyah Edwards FOut
  • Maria Kliundikova FOut

Washington Mystics

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated Aug 15, 4:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Brittney Griner player_rebounds
Shakira Austin player_points_rebounds_assists
Sonia Citron player_points_rebounds_assists
Brittney Griner player_points_rebounds_assists
Sonia Citron player_points

+ 13 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics — 5 on the game itself and 13 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded
13
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics — recent results

Washington Mystics have won 3 of their last 5 games; Connecticut Sun have won 1 of their last 5.

Washington Mystics — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W80–70LAHome
L76–83LVAway
L76–86LVAway
W95–75PHXHome
W79–74ATLHome
Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L75–82NYHome
L69–104ATLHome
W75–72PHXHome
L63–83DALAway
L88–94CHIAway

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Washington Mystics won 2, Connecticut Sun won 1.

DateWashington MysticsConnecticut SunWinner
Jul 289284Washington Mystics
Jun 265768Connecticut Sun
Jun 178881Washington Mystics

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Hailey Van Lith GOUT
Brittney Griner COUT
Aaliyah Edwards FOUT
Maria Kliundikova FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics — model preview

Model-built preview and betting picks for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics: our probability on every market, the value read, and where the edge sits.

The model's read: Over totals at 1.87 — we make it a 63% chance (+0.1% edge on the price).

Player angles the model likes:

  • Sonia Citron Under 16.5 points at 1.83 — 78% by our numbers
  • Sonia Citron Under 23.5 points rebounds assists at 1.85 — 78% by our numbers
  • Sonia Citron Under 1.5 threes at 1.54 — 72% by our numbers

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Jul 26 Spread Connecticut Sun +6 ✗ MISS
28 Jul 26 Total Points Over 157.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jul 26 Total Points Over 157 ✓ HIT
28 Jul 26 Total Points Over 158 ✓ HIT
28 Jul 26 Total Points Over 156.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sun vs Mystics, or as Mystics vs Sun. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 28 July 2026 at CareFirst Arena. The model has generated 5 game picks and 13 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Washington Mystics 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jul 2026Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics92–84Washington Mystics
26 Jun 2026Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun68–57Connecticut Sun
17 Jun 2026Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun81–88Washington Mystics
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