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Model picks & player props
Connecticut Sun
VS
Las Vegas Aces

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 1, 5:33PM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces and backs Connecticut Sun 14.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $197.

WNBA
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Indoor
Fri 21 Aug 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Connecticut Sun 14.5 Spread -103

The model graded 70 markets for Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $197 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 21 Aug 2026, 2:00AM at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.5%
The price says48.8%
Best price-103
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Connecticut Sun 14.5 High67% chance -103
Alt Spread Members only High66% chance Members
Alt Total Points Members only Lean60% chance Members
Pts+Reb × 6 props Highup to 85% Members
Pts+Reb+Ast × 6 props Highup to 84% Members
Rebounds × 7 props Highup to 79% Members
Points × 7 props Highup to 78% Members
Pts+Ast × 4 props Highup to 80% Members
Rebounds (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 84% Members
Reb+Ast × 6 props Highup to 80% Members
Assists × 3 props Highup to 71% Members
Points (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 66% Members
3-Pointers × 2 props Highup to 74% Members
3-Pointers (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Connecticut Sun and Las Vegas Aces last met on Fri 21 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 · $100 returned $236

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 2,470 of 3,297 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 30
Under 168.5
Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $154
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Connecticut Sun
+14.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Connecticut SunSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Connecticut Sun

  • Rayah Marshall COut
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa COut
  • Saniya Rivers GOut
  • Brittney Griner COut
  • Kennedy Burke GOut

Las Vegas Aces

  • Dana Evans GOut
  • NaLyssa Smith FOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 12:12AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Reb
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Reb+Ast
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Rebounds
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Points
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Ast

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Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces — recent results

Las Vegas Aces have won 4 of their last 5 games; Connecticut Sun have won 1 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L89–99INDAway
W102–85INDHome
W100–82PHXAway
W89–79LAHome
W98–77SEAHome
Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W95–81TORHome
L69–79WSHAway
L89–101MINHome
L59–103ATLAway
L71–97DALAway

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Las Vegas Aces won 3, Connecticut Sun won 0.

DateLas Vegas AcesConnecticut SunWinner
Aug 2110178Las Vegas Aces
May 1510194Las Vegas Aces
May 149869Las Vegas Aces

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
Dana Evans GOUT
NaLyssa Smith FOUT
Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Rayah Marshall COUT
Olivia Nelson-Ododa COUT
Saniya Rivers GOUT
Brittney Griner COUT
Kennedy Burke GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces — model preview

Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun, 21 August 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Friday 21 August 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line (-667)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA on Friday 21 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +25 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +23.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +26 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +24.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +24 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +25.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +26.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sun vs Aces, or as Aces vs Sun. The most recent game between them was Friday 21 August 2026 at Michelob Ultra Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Las Vegas Aces 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Aug 2026Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces101–78Las Vegas Aces
15 May 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun94–101Las Vegas Aces
14 May 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun69–98Las Vegas Aces
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