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Model picks & player props
Connecticut Sun
VS
Las Vegas Aces

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Indoor
Fri 21 Aug 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Connecticut Sun 14.5 Spread -103

The model graded 70 markets for Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $197 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 21 Aug 2026, 2:00AM at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.5%
The price says48.8%
Best price-103
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Connecticut Sun 14.5 High67% chance -103
Alt Spread High66% chance
Alt Spread High65% chance
Alt Spread High73% chance
Alt Spread High75% chance
Alt Spread High62% chance
Alt Spread High60% chance
Alt Spread High70% chance
Alt Spread High69% chance
Pts+Reb × 6 props Highup to 85%
Pts+Reb+Ast × 6 props Highup to 84%
Rebounds × 7 props Highup to 79%
Points × 7 props Highup to 78%
Pts+Ast × 4 props Highup to 80%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Connecticut Sun and Las Vegas Aces last met on Fri 21 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 · $100 returned $236

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,718 of 2,295 right (wnba totals unders)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Connecticut Sun
+14.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Connecticut SunSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Connecticut Sun

  • Rayah Marshall COut
  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa COut
  • Brittney Griner COut
  • Leila Lacan GOut

Las Vegas Aces

  • Ta'Niya Latson GOut
  • NaLyssa Smith FOut
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:50PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Reb
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Reb+Ast
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Rebounds
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Points
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Ast

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Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces — recent results

Las Vegas Aces have won 3 of their last 5 games; Connecticut Sun have won 1 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W93–73TORHome
W88–78TORAway
W101–78CONHome
L82–97ATLHome
L87–92MINHome
Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L71–97DALAway
L91–111INDAway
L64–89GSHome
W87–81CHIHome
L68–77LAAway

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Las Vegas Aces won 3, Connecticut Sun won 0.

DateLas Vegas AcesConnecticut SunWinner
Aug 2110178Las Vegas Aces
May 1510194Las Vegas Aces
May 149869Las Vegas Aces

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
Ta'Niya Latson GOUT
NaLyssa Smith FOUT
Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Rayah Marshall COUT
Olivia Nelson-Ododa COUT
Brittney Griner COUT
Leila Lacan GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces — model preview

Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun, 21 August 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Friday 21 August 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line (-667)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Las Vegas Aces play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA on Friday 21 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +25 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +23.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +26 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +24.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +24 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +25.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +26.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sun vs Aces, or as Aces vs Sun. The most recent game between them was Friday 21 August 2026 at Michelob Ultra Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Las Vegas Aces 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Aug 2026Connecticut Sun @ Las Vegas Aces101–78Las Vegas Aces
15 May 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun94–101Las Vegas Aces
14 May 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun69–98Las Vegas Aces
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