On Sunday 4 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Golden State Valkyries +1.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced some tough teams, which makes their success even more impressive. Playing at home gives them a little boost, and they're looking to keep that momentum going against the Las Vegas Aces, who are also on a winning streak.
The Aces have been scoring a ton lately, averaging over 91 points a game this season. However, the Valkyries have shown they can compete well against strong opponents. Since both teams are closely matched, the game could be a nail-biter. The biggest risk is that the Aces are tough to beat, but I think the Valkyries can cover the spread of +1.5. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (+102)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced some tough teams along the way, which makes their success even more impressive. They've also won 4 of their last 6, showing they can keep up the momentum. This matchup feels really close since both teams are playing well, but the Valkyries have home advantage.
The Las Vegas Aces are no slouches either, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring a ton of points. However, they've been on the road for this game, which can make a difference in performance. Since it's such a tight matchup, the Valkyries have a real shot at winning, especially with the crowd behind them. Just remember, the Aces are strong, so it won't be easy. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Over 35.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson is a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, and she's been on a roll lately, scoring an impressive average of 91.5 points a game. With the Aces winning eight of their last ten and showing strong form, she has a solid chance to contribute significantly against the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries have faced tough competition recently, which could lead to a high-paced game where Wilson can rack up points and rebounds.
Betting on A'ja Wilson to score over 35.5 points and rebounds makes sense with her recent performance. However, keep in mind that the Valkyries have also been playing well, winning four of their last six games. This matchup could be closer than expected, but Wilson's ability to shine in big moments gives this bet a good chance. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 26.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been playing well, but she's facing a tough match against the Las Vegas Aces, who have been scoring a lot lately. They are averaging over 91 points a game and have won 32 of their last 47 games. With both teams showing good form, it might be harder for Williams to rack up her usual numbers in points, rebounds, and assists.
The Golden State Valkyries have faced some strong competition recently, which could make it tough for her to shine. Plus, this matchup is close, so every possession counts, and that could limit her chances to pile up stats. Betting under 26.5 for her seems like a solid choice with the way things are shaping up, but remember, it's never a sure thing. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kayla Thornton Under 12.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kayla Thornton faces a tough challenge against the Las Vegas Aces, who have been on fire lately, scoring an impressive 91.5 points a game. While Thornton has been solid, the Aces are known for their strong defense, which could limit her chances to shine. With both teams winning a lot lately, this matchup feels pretty even.
Betting on Thornton to score under 12.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists makes sense given the Aces' pressure on players. The risk is that Thornton could surprise us with a standout performance, but with the Aces' defense in the mix, it seems more likely she won't hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.