On Saturday 10 October 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Golden State Valkyries +5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
The Golden State Valkyries have been on a great run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough teams, holding a solid record against clubs that have a combined winning rate. This experience could help them keep the score close against the Las Vegas Aces, who have also been winning but have a narrower margin in recent matchups.
At Michelob Ultra Arena, the Aces are strong, but our numbers suggest a close game. The Aces might score around 90 points a game, but the Valkyries have shown they can compete well. The biggest risk here is that the Aces have been tough at home, but the Valkyries are playing with confidence. So, taking the Valkyries with a 5-point head start seems like a smart choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 156.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The game needs both teams to score plenty of points for the total to go over 156.5. The Las Vegas Aces have been on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 90.9 points a game this season. The Golden State Valkyries are also strong, with 8 wins in their last 10 games, which should push the scoring higher. Both teams have shown they can score a lot lately, and our numbers think a total around 165.9 is likely. The risk is that the Valkyries have faced tougher opponents recently, which could slow things down a bit. Still, with both teams in good form, it feels like a solid pick for a high-scoring night. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kayla Thornton Under 7.5 Points (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kayla Thornton has been playing well lately, but she faces a tough matchup against the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are on fire, winning eight of their last ten games and scoring an impressive average of 90.9 points. This makes it hard for opponents to find their rhythm, especially for a player like Thornton. The pick here is for her to score under 7.5 points. While she has shown she can put up numbers, the Aces' strong defense and Thornton's recent stats suggest it might be a challenging night for her. The Aces have been playing at a high level, and that could make it tough for her to hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Stephanie Talbot Over 5.5 Points (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are scoring like crazy lately, averaging almost 91 points a game this season. They've won 8 of their last 10 games, showing they know how to put points on the board. This matchup against the Golden State Valkyries should be exciting, as both teams have been playing well, winning 8 of their last 10 games too. Stephanie Talbot has been stepping up and hitting her shots, making this bet on her to score over 5.5 points look promising. However, the Valkyries have faced a tougher schedule, so they might challenge the Aces more than expected. Still, with both teams in good form, it should be a high-scoring game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Over 8.5 Rebounds and Assists (+111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are playing strong, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 90.9 points a game this season. Gabby Williams has been a key player, and she's been contributing well with rebounds and assists. The Aces are at home, which often gives teams an extra boost, especially in big games like this one. On the other hand, the Golden State Valkyries have also been hot, winning 8 of their last 10, but they've faced some tougher competition. This matchup looks pretty even, but Gabby Williams has the chance to shine. The biggest risk is that both teams are closely matched, which could make for a tight game. Still, I like the chances for Gabby to go over 8.5 combined rebounds and assists. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.