On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 153.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
The Golden State Valkyries have been playing pretty well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. The Connecticut Sun, on the other hand, have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10. Both teams tend to allow a good number of three-point shots, so there could be plenty of scoring. The expected combined total for this game is around 158, which is above our line of 153.5. Just remember, the Sun's recent form makes this a bit risky since they've been giving up points easily. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +18.5 on the Line (-213)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Connecticut Sun need to win by at least 19 points tonight, and that's a tall order given they've only won 2 of their last 10 games. They struggle to defend the three-point line, which could give the Golden State Valkyries plenty of chances to score from deep. However, the Valkyries also allow a lot of rebounds, which could help the Sun get extra possessions. Plus, the Sun are at home, and home court can give them a boost. Just keep in mind that the Sun's recent form makes this a tricky bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Cecilia Zandalasini Over 10.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Cecilia Zandalasini has had a mixed bag lately, with her points and rebounds bouncing around but showing some potential. The Connecticut Sun have struggled recently, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and they give up a lot of rebounds. They allow teams to grab over 32 boards a game, which could help Zandalasini get those crucial rebounds while she also looks to score. The Golden State Valkyries have been on fire, winning 7 of their last 10 games, which means they're likely to keep the pressure on. Zandalasini needs to step up against a tough opponent, and while she hasn't been super consistent, the chance of her reaching over 10.5 combined points and rebounds looks good by our numbers. The biggest risk is how close her recent performance has been, with her stats fluctuating quite a bit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Tiffany Hayes Over 14.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tiffany Hayes has been showing some solid numbers lately, with her points and rebounds often hitting between 10 and 12 and even going as high as 11 on assists in recent games. Playing at home against the Golden State Valkyries, who have been a bit generous in allowing opponents to score, she should have plenty of chances to rack up those totals. The Valkyries struggle with rebounds too, which could give Hayes even more opportunities. While the Connecticut Sun have had a tough time lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, Hayes seems to be a bright spot for them. The most concrete risk here is that the Sun's overall scoring struggles could limit her chances. Still, with the way Hayes can perform and the Valkyries' weaknesses, betting on her to get over 14.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Aaliyah Edwards Under 17.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds for Aaliyah Edwards to score under 17.5 points and rebounds look good. Connecticut Sun has struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They also allow a decent number of rebounds, but their opponents don't always score well against them. Edwards might face a tough time since the Sun give up fewer rebounds compared to the rest of the league.
While Golden State Valkyries are on a roll with 7 wins in their last 10, the matchup is pretty close. Edwards could be limited in her stats if the game stays tight. Plus, both teams have been averaging low in three-point attempts lately, which might impact scoring opportunities. It's worth a shot, but remember, it's never guaranteed. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.