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Model picks & player props
Connecticut Sun
VS
Dallas Wings

Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 21, 8:38AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
College Park Center, Dallas
Indoor
Sun 2 Aug 2026, 11:00PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
67.7%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Connecticut Sun 10.5 Alt Spread +108

The model graded 70 markets for Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $208 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 67.7% across 65 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 2 Aug 2026, 11:00PM at College Park Center.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win56.4%
The price says45.8%
Best price+108
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Spread Connecticut Sun 10.5 Lean56% chance +108
Alt Spread High63% chance
Alt Spread High61% chance
Alt Spread Lean58% chance
Alt Spread Lean60% chance
Pts+Reb × 5 props Highup to 82%
Assists (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 75%
Rebounds (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 75%
Rebounds × 5 props Highup to 71%
Points × 7 props Highup to 72%
Assists × 4 props Highup to 71%
Pts+Ast × 3 props Highup to 73%
Pts+Reb+Ast × 5 props Highup to 70%
Pts+Reb (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 62%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Arike Ogunbowale Over 3.5 · $100 returned $222

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,239 of 1,607 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 20
Under 161
Minnesota Lynx @ Golden State Valkyries
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $215
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Connecticut Sun
+12.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Connecticut Sun

  • Hailey Van Lith GOut
  • Aaliyah Edwards FOut
  • Brittney Griner COut

Dallas Wings

  • Christyn Williams GOut
  • Haley Jones GOut
  • Azzi Fudd GOut
  • Aziaha James GOut
  • Costanza Verona GOut
Availability updated Aug 21, 1:22AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Olivia Nelson-Ododa CON Pts+Reb
Charlisse Leger-Walker CON Assists (Alt)
Brittney Griner CON Rebounds (Alt)
Brittney Griner CON Rebounds
Paige Bueckers DAL Points

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings — recent results

Dallas Wings have won 2 of their last 5 games; Connecticut Sun have won 2 of their last 5.

Dallas Wings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W91–85INDHome
L70–78GSAway
L87–98INDAway
W94–88TORHome
L90–103MINAway
Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L78–101LVAway
W85–77LAHome
L75–82NYHome
L69–104ATLHome
W75–72PHXHome

Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Dallas Wings won 2, Connecticut Sun won 0.

DateDallas WingsConnecticut SunWinner
Aug 28363Dallas Wings
Jul 38683Dallas Wings

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Wings
PlayerStatus
Christyn Williams GOUT
Haley Jones GOUT
Azzi Fudd GOUT
Aziaha James GOUT
Costanza Verona GOUT
Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Hailey Van Lith GOUT
Aaliyah Edwards FOUT
Brittney Griner COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings — model preview

Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun, 3 August 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +23.5 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Monday 3 August 2026, Dallas Wings play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +23.5 on the Line, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +23.5 on the Line (-667)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As the Dallas Wings prepare to host the Connecticut Sun at College Park Center, this matchup offers a fascinating narrative. The Sun have been a force this season, showcasing an impressive blend of pace and defensive tenacity that can stifle even the most potent offenses. While home-court advantage often plays a role, the Wings have struggled against elite teams, and Connecticut's depth and experience are likely to shine here. Our projections suggest a final margin of around 8.4 points, but the Sun's ability to control tempo and capitalize on fast breaks makes them a strong candidate to cover the alternate spread of 23.5. The Wings may find themselves outpaced and outmaneuvered, making this a prime opportunity to back Connecticut as they look to solidify their standing in the playoff race. Trust in the Sun's capability to dominate and seize this chance to capitalize. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
65
Total Picks
67.7%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
02 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +10.5 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Spread Connecticut Sun +11.5 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Total Points Under 171.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Points Under 172.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +11 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 172 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 173 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +12.5 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 173.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +12 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 174 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 174.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +13.5 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 175.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Alt Spread Connecticut Sun +13 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sun vs Wings, or as Wings vs Sun. The most recent game between them was Sunday 2 August 2026 at College Park Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 67.7% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 2 meetings
Dallas Wings 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Aug 2026Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings83–63Dallas Wings
3 Jul 2026Dallas Wings @ Connecticut Sun83–86Dallas Wings
Today's selected board

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