<p>Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun, 3 August 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +22.5 on the Line. Our model likes 2 bets in this game.</p>
On Monday 3 August 2026, Dallas Wings play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +22.5 on the Line, priced at -556 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +22.5 on the Line (-556)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Dallas Wings prepare to host the Connecticut Sun at College Park Center, this matchup has all the makings of a thrilling showdown, but the numbers reveal a telling story. The Sun, known for their tenacity and depth, come into this game with a well-rounded roster that thrives in high-pressure situations. Despite the Wings being at home, they struggle to keep pace against top-tier teams like Connecticut, who excel in transition and ball movement. Our model anticipates a final margin of around 8.8 points, but the Sun's ability to ramp up their defensive intensity could widen that gap. Given the Wings' inconsistent play, especially against strong defensive squads, betting on Connecticut to cover an alternate point spread of 22.5 feels like a savvy move. Expect the Sun to leverage their experience and cohesion, pulling away in the second half to secure a commanding victory. It was priced at -556 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 175.5 Total Points (-154)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Dallas Wings host the Connecticut Sun at College Park Center, we're looking at a matchup that's likely to keep scoring in check. Both teams have shown a tendency to grind out games, with defensive intensity taking center stage. The Wings, while capable of offensive bursts, often find themselves in slower-paced contests against disciplined defenses like the Sun's. Connecticut thrives on forcing opponents into tough shots, which can lead to lower scoring affairs. The projected total of 168.8 points indicates a clear path to the under, especially considering both teams' recent trends. With the Sun's strategic rebounding and the Wings' methodical ball movement, expect a game where each possession feels critical. This matchup is shaping up to be a battle of wills, and with both squads likely aiming to control the tempo, backing the under at 175.5 feels like a savvy play. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.