On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 178.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 178.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are playing really well, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring an impressive 91 points on average this season. In contrast, the Los Angeles Sparks have struggled, winning only 3 of their last 10 and averaging 85 points per game. Both teams are facing each other at the Michelob Ultra Arena, and the Aces seem to have the upper hand.
Given how the teams are performing, I think betting on under 178.5 total points makes sense. Our numbers suggest a combined score around 168.6, which is lower than the target. The Sparks' recent form shows they might not reach high scores, so that's a concrete risk to consider. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Los Angeles Sparks +20.5 on the Line (-185)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For the Sparks to cover the spread of 20.5 points tonight, they need to keep the game closer than usual. The Aces have been scoring a lot lately, averaging 91 points a game, but the Sparks have been pretty solid too, putting up 85 points on average. The Aces have won a lot of games recently, but the Sparks have managed to win three of their last six. The biggest risk is that the Aces are on a roll, winning four of their last six games, so they might just pull away. Still, it feels like the Sparks can keep it competitive enough to cover. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.