On Friday 18 September 2026, Seattle Storm play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Seattle Storm +8.5 on the Line, priced at +106 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
The Seattle Storm are up against the Las Vegas Aces, and the Storm have been pretty competitive lately. They have a solid chance to keep this game close, especially since our numbers suggest they could lose by just a few points. The Aces may have a slight advantage, but the Storm are at home and should feel the support from their fans. The biggest risk here is that the Aces have a better overall record, but taking Seattle with an 8.5-point cushion looks promising. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 185.5 Total Points (-312)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces are set to face off at Climate Pledge Arena, and our numbers suggest a low-scoring game. Both teams have been struggling with points lately, and their combined scoring is expected to be around 156.9. The Aces also have a bit of travel weariness, which could affect their performance. While the Storm are at home, the overall scoring potential looks weak, making the bet on under 185.5 a solid choice. Just remember, there's always a chance it could go the other way, especially if one team surprises us. It was priced at -312 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chelsea Gray Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
For Chelsea Gray to make under 1.5 three-pointers tonight against the Seattle Storm, she'll need to keep her shooting low. Our numbers show she's been hitting around one three-pointer lately, which means she might struggle to get more than one against a solid Storm defense. The Storm have been doing well with their defensive rebounds, which could limit Gray's chances to find open shots. Plus, she's been attempting fewer three-pointers than usual. The biggest risk is how close these two teams are, as both like to play hard and can surprise each other. Still, it seems like a solid pick for tonight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dominique Malonga Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Dominique Malonga has been showing some solid scoring lately, helping to boost her team's chances. With her recent average of 4.2 made free throws and 1.4 steals, she's been active on both ends of the court. This matchup against the Las Vegas Aces could see her rack up points and assists, pushing her total over 19.5. The Aces can be tough, and Malonga will need to keep up her good form. However, with her consistent contributions, there's a good chance she hits that mark. Just remember, the Aces are a strong team, so it won't be easy. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jackie Young Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
At Climate Pledge Arena, Jackie Young of the Las Vegas Aces is up against the Seattle Storm. The Storm have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and they allow a good number of rebounds and three-point attempts. This could make it tough for Young to rack up her points and boards, especially since both teams have been giving up similar numbers in those areas.
Even though this game is seen as a close matchup, Young's recent performance shows she might not hit the over on 24.5 points and rebounds. The Storm's defense can be tricky, and they allow opponents to grab plenty of boards, which makes it risky for her to get the stats she needs. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.