Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chelsea Gray is Over 17.5 on Points + Assists (Alt).
On the Points + Assists (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:10PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Ast (Alt)
Over 17.5
-118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+8.3% Edge
Washington Mystics
@
Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Wed 12 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
OUT
Gray (rest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Liberty.
updated Aug 9, 2:10PM UTC · 1d old
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Implied Probability
54.1%
Predicted Value
19.6 Pts+Ast (Alt)
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pts+Ast (Alt) | 62.4% | — | 54.1% | 1.60 | +8.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 2/5 |
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Chelsea Gray Over 17.5 Points and Assists Combined (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Las Vegas Aces play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chelsea Gray Over 17.5 Points and Assists Combined. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects Chelsea Gray to finish with about 19.6 points and assists combined. The line for this one is 17.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 09 Aug 26 |
 Las Vegas Aces @ New York Liberty |
3-Pointers |
1.5 |
Under |
+114 |
✗ MISS |
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Chelsea Gray is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chelsea Gray is Over 17.5 on Points + Assists (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday 12 August at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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