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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chelsea Gray is Under 16.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 59%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 7:11PM UTC
WNBA

Chelsea Gray

WNBA

Value call

Chelsea Gray has one live pick today: Pts+Ast Under 16.5 that pays $196 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pts+Ast Under 16.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
Value call
Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Mon 21 Sep, 1:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,907 of 2,587 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
59 in 100
Predicted
15.7 Pts+Ast
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.2% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +8.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Ast59.2%—51.0%2.10+8.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/5

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AI Analysis

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Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm: Chelsea Gray Under 16.5 Points + Assists (-104)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chelsea Gray has been a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, but lately, she's been a bit quieter in scoring and assists. The Aces have won 6 of their last 10 games, but Gray has been averaging fewer contributions, especially with the team allowing good shooting chances to their opponents. The Seattle Storm, on the other hand, have struggled to win, managing only 2 victories in their last 10 games, and they tend to give up fewer three-point attempts than the Aces. With both teams having some ups and downs, it's a tight matchup, but Gray seems likely to stay under 16.5 points and assists for this game. One risk is that both teams are known to let their opponents take a decent number of shots from behind the arc, which could lead to unexpected plays. Overall, it feels like a good spot to take this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (27 picks) 74.1% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Chelsea Gray's lines for Mon 21 Sep

Every market the books have posted for her, with the best price we can find, how often she has cleared the line lately, and her last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pts+Ast 16.5
-128 best over price · 1 bookHow many points does Chelsea Gray average?

Chelsea Gray's pts+ast line is 16.5, best over price -128 across 1 book.

Pts+Reb 13.5
-125 best over price · 1 bookHow many points does Chelsea Gray average?

Chelsea Gray's pts+reb line is 13.5, best over price -125 across 1 book.

Pts+Reb+Ast 19.5
-102 best over price · 6 booksHow many points does Chelsea Gray average?

Chelsea Gray's pts+reb+ast line is 19.5, best over price -102 across 6 books.

Reb+Ast 8.5
-145 best over price · 1 bookHow many points does Chelsea Gray average?

Chelsea Gray's reb+ast line is 8.5, best over price -145 across 1 book.

Pts+Reb+Ast 20.5
-102 best over price · 6 booksHow many points does Chelsea Gray average?

Chelsea Gray's pts+reb+ast line is 20.5, best over price -102 across 6 books.

Reb+Ast 9.5
+101 best over price · 2 booksHow many points does Chelsea Gray average?

Chelsea Gray's reb+ast line is 9.5, best over price +101 across 2 books.

Quick answers:How many points does Chelsea Gray average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Pts+Reb 14.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Rebounds 3.5 Under -156 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Pts+Ast 17.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Pts+Ast — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Pts+Reb+Ast — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chelsea Gray is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 74.1% on tracked Chelsea Gray picks. The latest model pick for Chelsea Gray is Under 16.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces on Monday 21 September at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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