Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chelsea Gray is Over 17.5 on Points + Assists (Alt).
On the Points + Assists (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:29PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Ast (Alt)
Over 17.5
-118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+8.3% Edge
Washington Mystics
@
Las Vegas Aces
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas · Indoor
Wed 12 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
OUT
Gray (rest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Liberty.
updated Aug 9, 2:10PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
54.1%
Predicted Value
19.6 Pts+Ast (Alt)
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pts+Ast (Alt) | 62.4% | — | 54.1% | 1.60 | +8.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 2/5 |
See the full 20-game form curve
Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Chelsea Gray Over 17.5 Points and Assists Combined (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Las Vegas Aces play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chelsea Gray Over 17.5 Points and Assists Combined. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. The game is at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. Our model expects Chelsea Gray to finish with about 19.6 points and assists combined. The line for this one is 17.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 09 Aug 26 |
 Las Vegas Aces @ New York Liberty |
3-Pointers |
1.5 |
Under |
+114 |
✗ MISS |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Chelsea Gray is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chelsea Gray is Over 17.5 on Points + Assists (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday 12 August at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.