On Thursday 17 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +15.5 on the Line, priced at +100 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
For the Connecticut Sun to cover the point spread of +15.5 against the Atlanta Dream, they just need to keep the game close. Our numbers suggest they have a good chance to do this, especially since the Dream's recent form and travel may not be in their favor, even if the margin is expected to be around 10 points. The Sun have a better overall scoring difference than the Dream, which plays into their favor. The biggest risk is that the Dream are at home, but the Sun can surprise with their performance tonight. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 169.5 Total Points (-122)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds for this game suggest a total points line of 169.5, but our numbers think it should be a bit lower, around 166.1. Both teams are pretty evenly matched, with only a slight difference in their winning percentages, which makes it a tough call. The Atlanta Dream have been playing solid defense lately, and the travel distance favors them too, which can impact how well the Connecticut Sun performs. The biggest risk is that both teams could surprise us and score more than expected, but right now, the under looks like a smart choice. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rhyne Howard Over 18.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Rhyne Howard has been scoring well lately, and with the Atlanta Dream playing at home against the Connecticut Sun, this could be a good spot for her to shine. While her recent numbers show she's getting a decent amount of assists and rebounds, she's been a bit off with free throws lately. Still, the chances of her hitting over 18.5 points are solid since it's a close matchup and she has the support of the home crowd. Just keep in mind that both teams can be pretty competitive, which might make scoring tougher than expected. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 15.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Angel Reese has been on fire lately, scoring nearly 20 points in her last few games. She's also been making more three-pointers and has been quite active on defense with steals. The Atlanta Dream will need to keep up with her scoring, and with this matchup, it feels like she can easily hit over 15.5 points. However, the Connecticut Sun are a tough team that can limit scoring, so that's the main risk here. Still, Reese's recent form makes this a solid pick. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Saniya Rivers Under 9.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Saniya Rivers has been scoring well lately, but the matchup against the Atlanta Dream might make things tough for her. The Dream have won seven of their last ten games and play solid defense, which can limit scoring chances. They also give up a fair amount of three-point attempts, yet Rivers might find it difficult to surpass 9.5 points in this game. On the other side, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only three of their last ten contests. Since both teams are closely matched, this game could go either way. The most concrete risk is that Rivers could have an off night, especially with the Dream's strong defensive play. Taking the under on her points seems like a smart choice for this game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.