Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx, 20 September 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.
On Sunday 20 September 2026, Connecticut Sun play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line, priced at -417 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +27.5 on the Line (-417)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
For the Connecticut Sun to cover the +27.5 spread, they need to keep the game close against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 91.3 points per game. However, the Sun have shown they can challenge, even though they've struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10. Plus, they often let teams shoot a lot of threes, which could help them stay competitive. The biggest risk is that Minnesota has been playing well, but this spread seems generous for a team looking to bounce back. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Olivia Miles Under 19.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Olivia Miles has been playing well lately, but the Connecticut Sun's defense can be tough. They've allowed a lot of three-point attempts, which could limit her scoring chances. Miles might face a challenge since the Sun have only won 3 of their last 10 games and often fall behind early, making it harder for her to get points. The Minnesota Lynx are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, which could mean they focus more on defense against Miles. Although our numbers show this bet is close to a coin flip, it's worth noting that Miles hasn't been a high scorer in games against strong defenses. That makes betting under 19.5 points a solid choice for this matchup. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Courtney Williams Under 12.5 Points (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Courtney Williams has been scoring a bit less lately, and with the Connecticut Sun struggling overall, this game could see fewer points for her. The Sun have only won 3 out of their last 10 games and often fall behind early, which might limit Williams' chances to rack up points. Plus, the Minnesota Lynx are on a hot streak, winning 7 of their last 10 and averaging over 91 points a game. While Williams can score, there's a solid chance she won't hit the mark this time because the Lynx play tough defense. They've also been good at limiting opponents' scoring. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Aaliyah Edwards Over 11.5 Points (+108)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Aaliyah Edwards has a solid chance to score over 11.5 points in this game against the Minnesota Lynx at Mohegan Sun Arena. The Lynx have been scoring a lot lately, averaging over 91 points, which usually means more chances for players like Edwards to put up points. Plus, she's been getting a good number of attempts, which helps when trying to reach that total. However, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning just 1 of their last 6 games. This means they might not be in the best rhythm. Still, with the way the Lynx play, there should be plenty of action on the court, and that could work in Edwards' favor. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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