On Sunday 23 August 2026, West Coast Eagles play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Willem Duursma (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Willem Duursma (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winning machines, Willem Duursma stands out as a consistent force for the West Coast Eagles. His recent form is nothing short of impressive, averaging a hefty 18 disposals in his last five home games. Duursma's ability to find space and rack up possessions, with an average of 10 kicks and 8 handballs in these matches, makes him a key figure in the Eagles' midfield setup. Furthermore, his disposal efficiency of 59.0% at home shows that he not only gets his hands on the ball but also uses it effectively. With an average of 1.8 intercepts and 299.4 metres gained per game, Duursma is not just a flat-track bully; he impacts the game all over the field. Considering his solid hit rates and the consistent trend of exceeding 11.5 disposals, backing Duursma to go Over in this matchup against the Hawthorn Hawks seems like a smart play.

Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 16.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Connor Macdonald hitting the Over 16.5 disposals mark against the West Coast Eagles, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Macdonald has been an absolute workhorse, averaging 24.8 disposals per game. Facing off against the Eagles, he's maintained an average of 21 disposals in his recent encounters. What's more, his disposal efficiency has been solid at 76.6% on the road, showing his ability to make his possessions count. With an average of 13.2 handballs and 11.6 kicks per game away from home, Macdonald is constantly involved in setting up plays and generating forward momentum for the Hawks. Considering his recent form and consistency, Macdonald looks poised to continue his midfield dominance and easily surpass the 16.5 disposals line come game day at Optus Stadium.

Bo Allan (West Coast Eagles) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Bo Allan's recent form, he's been a midfield maestro for the West Coast Eagles. In his last five home games, he's been a ball magnet, averaging a solid 13.2 disposals. With a knack for finding his teammates with precision (68.8% disposal efficiency), Allan is a key playmaker in the Eagles' lineup. Facing Hawthorn at Optus Stadium, Allan's ability to read the play and intercept (2.4 intercepts per game) could give him ample opportunities to rack up possessions. His recent performance trend is impressive, hitting his disposal line in 10 consecutive home games and boasting an overall hit rate of 12 out of 13 games. Considering his consistent output and the favorable matchup, backing Bo Allan to surpass 9.5 disposals seems like a smart bet for this clash. Look for him to hunt the footy and drive the Eagles forward with his precise distribution skills.

That is how our model reads West Coast Eagles v Hawthorn Hawks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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