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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Cole is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +5.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:30PM UTC
AFL

Tom Cole

West Coast Eagles

+5.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
+5.9% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
64.5%
Model Edge
+5.9%
Predicted Value
13.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.4%—64.5%1.42+5.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Tom Cole (West Coast Eagles) Over 10.5 Disposals (-182)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Tom Cole stands out like a beacon in the night sky. The West Coast Eagles' defensive ace has been in scintillating form on the road, averaging a cool 14 disposals over his last five away games. Facing off against rivals Fremantle, Cole has historically upped his game, boasting an impressive average of 20 disposals in their recent encounters. With his sharp disposal efficiency sitting at 80.3% and a knack for intercepting play (averaging 3 intercepts per game), Cole is not just a lockdown defender but a key cog in the Eagles' ball movement. His ability to rack up uncontested possessions (9.6 per game) and drive the play forward (204.4 meters gained on average) further cements his case to eclipse the 10.5 disposal line. Backing Tom Cole to go over 10.5 disposals against the Dockers is not just a bet; it's a savvy move backed by data and recent form that screams value.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
50%hit L10 O 12.5
12.4avg disposals L5
Home11.8vs Collingwood14.8Season best26
O 10.580%
O 11.570%
O 12.550%
O 13.550%
O 14.530%
O 15.510%
Game log vs line (O 12.5)avg 15.3 · hi 26 · lo 8
891222212614161213

Tom Cole has gone over 12.5 disposals in 5 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 12.4 disposals, best 26).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 10.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 10.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tom Cole (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Cole is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 24 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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