Today's Top MLS Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 10/13: Finding the Edge

As Austin FC takes on Los Angeles FC, all eyes should be on Oleksandr Svatok for a potential goalscoring surprise. While his recent form might not scream “goal machine,” Svatok’s ability to find the net in crucial moments can’t be overlooked. He’s averaged a shot on target every game lately, and with Austin’s attacking style, he’s likely to see more opportunities against a Los Angeles defense that can sometimes be caught off guard. Consider this: Svatok has a hit rate of 1 in 5 overall, but when he’s away, that becomes 1 in 3, hinting at a knack for stepping up on the road. If he can register his typical 0.4 shots per game away, we could see him capitalize on a defensive lapse from LA. At the right moment, he could very well find that elusive goal, making him an intriguing pick in the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Dave Romney (San Jose Earthquakes) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+2700)

In the upcoming clash between Real Salt Lake and the San Jose Earthquakes, Dave Romney might not be the first name you think of in the goalscorer market, but hear me out. While his overall scoring average sits at 0.2 per game, there’s something intriguing about his potential to find the net. With the Earthquakes often struggling defensively, particularly at home, opportunities could arise for the center-back to make his mark. Romney’s 0.4 shots per game, coupled with a similar average for shots on target, suggests he’s not shy about pushing forward—especially on the road where he’s comfortable. The odds may seem long at 28, but in an unpredictable league like MLS, a set-piece or a cheeky run into the box could very well see him convert. With the right conditions, Romney could surprise us all and add some value to your betting slip.

Enea Mihaj (Atlanta United FC) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+3000)

Enea Mihaj may not be the most obvious choice for an anytime goalscorer bet, given his recent lack of scoring impact. However, in the vibrant setting of Atlanta’s home ground, we can sense an opportunity brewing. While his stats show he hasn't found the back of the net lately, the unpredictable nature of soccer often rewards the bold. Atlanta United’s defensive frailties have been evident, with their backline leaking goals at critical moments. This could create openings for Mihaj, especially if he finds himself in advanced positions as CF Montreal seeks to exploit Atlanta’s vulnerabilities. With averages of 0.6 shots per game, there's potential for him to capitalize on any defensive lapses. Sometimes, it’s the players flying under the radar who spring surprises. It could just take one fortunate strike for Mihaj to break his dry spell, making the long odds a tantalizing risk worth considering.

Josh Doig (Sassuolo) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+2500)

As Sassuolo gears up to face Frosinone, keep an eye on Josh Doig's potential to find the net. While his recent scoring figures may not scream prolific, there’s a glimmer of opportunity here. Doig has averaged about 0.2 goals per game across his last five outings, suggesting he’s due for a breakthrough, especially against a Frosinone defense that can be vulnerable. He’s been averaging nearly a shot per match, with similar stats away from home, which indicates he’s getting into positions to score—even if he hasn’t converted as often as he’d like. With Sassuolo needing to capitalize on every chance to solidify their standing, Doig's attacking instincts could pay off. Add to that the chance of favorable set pieces or counterattacks, and you have a compelling case for him to score. Sometimes, it's about timing and opportunity, and this could be the match where Doig finally strikes gold.

Montassar Talbi (Lorient) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+3000)

As Lorient prepares to host AS Monaco, the spotlight shifts to Montassar Talbi, a player who may not have a prolific goal record, but is poised for a breakthrough. While his recent statistics show a modest average of 0.8 shots per game at home, it’s crucial to remember that opportunities often come in waves, especially against a side like Monaco, who can leave gaps in their backline. With Lorient pushing for a more attacking playstyle at home, Talbi’s presence could be pivotal. He might not have found the net recently, but sometimes the stars align in unexpected ways. The odds might suggest a long shot, but at 31 for anytime goalscorer, this could be the gamble that pays off handsomely. Keep an eye on Talbi; in football, a moment of magic can strike when you least expect it.

That is the model's read on today's MLS card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.