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Model picks & player props
NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Sat 7 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Montréal Canadiens
10-6 · 5-2 awayWWWLW
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs
8-9 · 4-5 at homeWLLWL
Our model's predicted score: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3 – Montréal Canadiens 2.9

Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks · Sat 7 Nov

Our model graded 10 markets for Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs and backs Toronto Maple Leafs hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $260.

10
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs 3-Way Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$26.00Best price+160
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win36.4%
The price says38.5%

The model graded 10 markets for Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $260 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 7 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3-Way Moneyline Toronto Maple Leafs Long-shot36% chance +160
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Lean46% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Lines Members only Long-shot12% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean58% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Line Members only High61% chance Members
3rd Period Moneyline Members only Lean44% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High81% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Lines Members only High82% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →
Predicted score: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.3 – Montréal Canadiens 2.9. Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena. Best bet: Toronto Maple Leafs at +160.
How they've been scoring this season
Montréal CanadiensToronto Maple Leafs
Won-lost10-68-9
Goals scored per game3.63.6
Goals allowed per game3.23.3
On the road / at home5-2 away4-5 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWLWWLLWL
Their games average 6.8 total goals this season.
From the 16 Montréal Canadiens and 17 Toronto Maple Leafs games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Canadiens about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Canadiensabout 5 in 10$1.91 (-110)$1.88 (-114)
Leafsabout 5 in 10$2.10 (+110)$2.05 (+105)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.60 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 27 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Montréal Canadiens last played on Thursday (1 day off). Toronto Maple Leafs last played on Tuesday (3 days off).
  • Toronto Maple Leafs are at home for a second straight game.
  • Over their last 5 games, Montréal Canadiens have scored 4.2 goals a game, up from 3.6 across the season.
  • On Thursday, Montréal Canadiens beat Utah Mammoth 5-4 at home. On Tuesday, Toronto Maple Leafs lost 3-2 at home to Utah Mammoth.
  • In the first 133 NHL games this season, home teams won 76, close to 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Before you bet: NHL injury report

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3-Way Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs
+160
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple Leafs3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs2nd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs2nd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Montréal CanadiensPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Toronto Maple Leafs on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Toronto Maple Leafs
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Betonlineag
on Montréal Canadiens
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Montreal Canadiens

  • Josh Anderson RWOut
  • Ivan Demidov RWOut
  • Mike Matheson DOut
  • Sam Montembeault GOut
  • Bryce Pickford DOut
  • Lucas Condotta LWOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Kirill Marchenko RWOut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Nick Blankenburg DOut
  • Marshall Rifai DOut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut
Availability updated Nov 7, 6:00PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Toronto Maple LeafsNo line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G3.8GA/G3.4Shots/G27.6vs Canadiens3-2

Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs +1.5No line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G3.8GA/G3.4Shots/G27.6vs Canadiens3-2

Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs — 10 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 9 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 2 of their last 5 games; Montréal Canadiens have won 0 of their last 0.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3UTAHome
W4–2VANAway
L4–5SEAAway
L2–5CGYAway
W7–2EDMAway

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Kirill Marchenko RWOUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Nick Blankenburg DOUT
Marshall Rifai DOUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT
William Villeneuve DOUT
Montreal Canadiens
PlayerStatus
Josh Anderson RWOUT
Ivan Demidov RWOUT
Mike Matheson DOUT
Sam Montembeault GOUT
Bryce Pickford DOUT
Lucas Condotta LWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs — where the money went

Since betting opened on Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs, the market has moved away from Toronto Maple Leafs across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Montréal Canadiens 1.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Toronto Maple Leafs▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Montréal Canadiens▲ Money came for this
Spread — Montréal Canadiens -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs — model preview

Toronto Maple Leafs v Montréal Canadiens, 29 September 2026. Top of the list: Montréal Canadiens +2.5. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Tuesday 29 September 2026, Toronto Maple Leafs play Montréal Canadiens in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Montréal Canadiens +2.5, priced at -526 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens: Montréal Canadiens +2.5 (-526)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Toronto Maple Leafs play Montréal Canadiens in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Montréal Canadiens +2.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -526 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Canadiens vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Canadiens. The next scheduled game is Saturday 7 November 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 10 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Montréal Canadiens play Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday 7 November 2026. It starts at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. It is an NHL game.

Where they last met

  • 29 Sep 2026Montréal Canadiens beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 on the road
  • 10 Mar 2026Montréal Canadiens beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1 at home

Montréal Canadiens: last 5 results

  1. 5 Nov 2026Wonvs Utah Mammoth 5-4
  2. 3 Nov 2026Lostvs Winnipeg Jets 4-5
  3. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4
  4. 29 Oct 2026Wonat Dallas Stars 5-2
  5. 27 Oct 2026Wonat St. Louis Blues 2-0

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 5 results

  1. 3 Nov 2026Lostvs Utah Mammoth 2-3
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Vancouver Canucks 4-2
  3. 28 Oct 2026Lostat Seattle Kraken 4-5
  4. 26 Oct 2026Lostat Calgary Flames 2-5
  5. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Edmonton Oilers 7-2

Quick answers

When is Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs? Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is on Saturday 7 November 2026. It starts at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

Who won the last Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens game? Montréal Canadiens won their last meeting 3-2 on 29 September 2026.

Where is Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs being played? It is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Montréal Canadiens 4–0 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 5.3 goals

Last meeting: Tue 29 Sep 2026, Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs: the Canadiens won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
29 Sep 2026Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs2–3Montréal Canadiens
19 Sep 2026Montréal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs1–4Montréal Canadiens
19 Sep 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montréal Canadiens4–3Montréal Canadiens
10 Mar 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montréal Canadiens3–1Montréal Canadiens

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