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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Sat 7 Nov 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Toronto FC
8-11-10 · 2-3-9 awayDWLWL
VS
Philadelphia Union
13-8-7 · 7-5-2 at homeWDLDL

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Picks · Sat 7 Nov

Our model graded 16 markets for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union and backs Under 3.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $185.

16
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 3.5 total goals
Under 3.5 Total Goals
You bet$10 If it wins$18.47Best price-118
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.2%
The price says53.0%

The model graded 16 markets for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $185 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 7 Nov 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 3.5 Lean54% chance -118
Total Goals Members only High72% chance Members
Spread Members only High94% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
How they've been scoring this season
Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union
Won-drawn-lost8-11-1013-8-7
Goals scored per game1.62.0
Goals allowed per game1.91.4
On the road / at home2-3-9 away7-5-2 at home
Last 5 gamesDWLWLWDLDL
Their games average 3.5 total goals this season.
From the 29 Toronto FC and 28 Philadelphia Union games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Philadelphia Union about 7 in 10 to win. Now: about 7 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Philadelphia Unionabout 7 in 10$1.52 (-192)$1.45 (-222)
Drawabout 2 in 10$5.32 (+432)$5.25 (+425)
Toronto FCabout 2 in 10$6.49 (+549)$6.30 (+530)

On this match the bookies keep about $7.20 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 49 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
3.5
-118
+ 15 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Over on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Over
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Matchbook
on Toronto FC
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Philadelphia Union

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
Both Teams to ScoreToronto FC @ Philadelphia Union+144

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 42% here.

Total GoalsToronto FC @ Philadelphia UnionUnder +3.5 -118
58%model over %

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 58% here.

Toronto FC @ Philadelphia Union — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union — 16 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — recent results

Philadelphia Union have won 1 of their last 5 games; Toronto FC have won 2 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Union — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1CINAway
D0–0NSHAway
L1–2NEHome
D2–2CLTHome
W3–1CHIAway
Toronto FC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3ATLAway
W2–1DCHome
L2–4CLBAway
W2–0RBNYAway
D3–3ORLHome

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Philadelphia Union won 0, Toronto FC won 0.

DatePhiladelphia UnionToronto FCWinner
Apr 2233Draw

Toronto FC @ Philadelphia Union — where the money went

Since betting opened on Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union, the market has moved away from Over across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Over 3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 3.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Toronto FC▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▲ Money came for this
Spread — Philadelphia Union -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Toronto FC 1.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Philadelphia Union▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Saturday 7 November 2026. The model has generated 16 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Toronto FC play Philadelphia Union on Saturday 7 November 2026. Kick-off is 4:00 PM ET at Subaru Park. It is an MLS game.

Where they last met

  • 22 Apr 2026Toronto FC drew 3-3 with Philadelphia Union at BMO Field

Toronto FC: last 5 MLS results

  1. 1 Nov 2026Lostat Atlanta United FC 1-3
  2. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs D.C. United 2-1
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Columbus Crew 2-4
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Red Bull New York 2-0
  5. 14 Oct 2026Drewvs Orlando City SC 3-3

Philadelphia Union: last 5 MLS results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostat FC Cincinnati 0-1
  2. 28 Oct 2026Drewat Nashville SC 0-0
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs New England Revolution 1-2
  4. 17 Oct 2026Drewvs Charlotte FC 2-2
  5. 14 Oct 2026Wonat Chicago Fire FC 3-1

Quick answers

When is Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union? Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union is on Saturday 7 November 2026. Kick-off is 4:00 PM ET at Subaru Park.

Who won the last Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC game? Their last MLS meeting was a 3-3 draw at BMO Field on 22 April 2026.

Where is Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union being played? It is being played at Subaru Park.

MLS games only. Cups and other competitions are left out.

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Even at 0–0 across the last meeting · 1 draw

Last meeting: Wed 22 Apr 2026, Philadelphia Union at Toronto FC: the game ended level at 3-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
22 Apr 2026Philadelphia Union @ Toronto FC3–3Draw
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