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Today's Sharp Picks

Not every model tip — only the ones worth backing. We put our model up against the price the sharpest betting sites are offering, keep only the bets that are priced better than they should be, tell you how much to put on each one, and drop any pick whose player is ruled out. Free, no signup.

Model vs the odds · best bets first · updated 2026-07-22 15:02 UTC
All sports Top picks Odds: Decimal
AFL Top pick
Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos
North Melbourne KangaroosHead to Head
As of Jul 22, 2026, Bet Better's model rates North Melbourne Kangaroos a 33.0% chance (fair odds 5.05) — a 13.2% edge over the market price of 4.75.
33.0%
Model win
4.75
Best price
+13.2%
Value
0.86u
Stake
Fair 5.05 Sat Aug 1, 03:35 UTC
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How to read this: Model win is our best guess at how often this bet wins. Value is how much better the price is than it should be — we only show bets that are worth more than the price. Stake is a safe amount to put on, shown in units (1 unit = 1% of your money) and capped — type your bankroll in the box above to see it in real dollars. It's a guide, not advice. Where we have a track record we show how often we beat the final odds. Odds move and betting sites cut winners, so check the price before you bet. Some days no sport has a real edge — when our model doesn't beat the odds we show nothing rather than make up a pick. 18+. Gamble responsibly.