Chandler Simpson (TBR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Rays and Mariners, keep an eye on Chandler Simpson's bat—specifically, consider the Under on his total bases. While Simpson has shown flashes of potential, he’s been in a bit of a slump lately, struggling against right-handed pitching with a batting average hovering around .220. The Rays' pitching staff, particularly their ace who’s likely to take the mound, has been dominant at home, boasting an impressive ERA that keeps opposing hitters guessing. Plus, the Rays' defense has been rock-solid, ranking among the league's best in limiting extra-base hits. Simpson's recent trend of underperforming in tough matchups combined with the challenging Rays' lineup suggests he might find it difficult to clear 1.5 total bases. With the odds leaning towards the Under at about 63%, it’s a gamble that feels ripe with potential.

J.P. Crawford (SEA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-192)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rays face off against the Mariners, J.P. Crawford’s recent performances suggest a quieter night at the plate may be in store. While he's had his moments, the Rays’ pitching staff has been formidable, boasting a stellar 3.20 ERA at home this season. Their ability to neutralize left-handed hitters—Crawford’s forte—has been particularly impressive, as they've limited contact and generated swings and misses at a high rate. Crawford has struggled against elite curveball pitchers, and with the Rays likely throwing their ace, expect him to be kept off balance. Over the last two weeks, he’s averaged less than one total base per game, hinting at a downturn in production. With Tampa's defense backing up their pitchers and Crawford's recent inconsistency, betting the under on 1.5 total bases feels like the right call in this matchup.

Josh Naylor (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Tampa Bay Rays host the Seattle Mariners, all eyes will be on Josh Naylor and his quest for total bases. However, the trends suggest that he might struggle to clear the 1.5 mark. Naylor has faced lefties with inconsistent results, and today’s matchup against the Mariners’ southpaw, who boasts a solid strikeout rate, could stifle his bat. The Rays’ lineup has been adept at neutralizing opposing hitters, particularly at home, where they’ve limited extra-base hits effectively. Plus, Naylor’s recent form shows a dip in power against left-handers, making that 1.5 line feel a bit ambitious. Given the way the Rays have been pitching and Naylor’s current struggles, betting the under here seems like a prudent choice. With the numbers supporting a lower output, it’s hard to envision him racking up those bases against this formidable Tampa pitching staff.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro