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Model picks & player props
MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Thu 25 Jun 2026, 12:10 PM ET
Kansas City Royals
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays and backs Tampa Bay Rays -2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $350.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tampa Bay Rays
to win by 3+ runs
Tampa Bay Rays -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$35.00Best price+250
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win35.2%
The price says28.6%

The model graded 20 markets for Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $350 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 25 Jun 2026, 12:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tampa Bay Rays -2.5 Long-shot35% chance +250
Spread Members only Lean44% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High63% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean46% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Kansas City Royals and Tampa Bay Rays last met on Thu 25 Jun 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Rays
-2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Royals

  • Ryan Bergert SPOut
  • Mitch Spence RPOut
  • Nick Mears RPOut
  • Luinder Avila SPOut
  • Stephen Kolek SPOut
  • Cole Ragans SPOut

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut

Probable pitcher

Drew Rasmussen SP
Availability updated Nov 3, 7:03PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1vs Kansas City Royals L51-4

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1vs Kansas City Royals L51-4

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City RoyalsNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
6.6runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1vs Kansas City Royals L51-4

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 1 of their last 5 games; Kansas City Royals have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4MILHome
W4–3MILHome
L1–10MILHome
L4–5MILAway
L2–3MILAway
Kansas City Royals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2CLEHome
L5–11CLEHome
L9–12CLEHome
L1–9CHWHome
W5–4CHWHome

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 5, Kansas City Royals won 2.

DateTampa Bay RaysKansas City RoyalsWinner
Jul 252Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 140Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 30104Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 25132Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 2453Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 23512Kansas City Royals
Jun 2212Kansas City Royals

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Kansas City Royals
PlayerStatus
Ryan Bergert SPOUT
Mitch Spence RPOUT
Nick Mears RPOUT
Luinder Avila SPOUT
Stephen Kolek SPOUT
Cole Ragans SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals stats and odds.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals : Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+164)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Royals vs Rays, or as Rays vs Royals. The most recent game between them was Thursday 25 June 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 2 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays beat Kansas City Royals 5-2 on the road
  • 1 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays beat Kansas City Royals 4-0 on the road
  • 30 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays beat Kansas City Royals 10-4 on the road

Kansas City Royals: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Cleveland Guardians 3-2
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 5-11
  3. 25 Sep 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 9-12
  4. 24 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 1-9
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Chicago White Sox 5-4

Tampa Bay Rays: last 5 results

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Milwaukee Brewers 1-4
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Milwaukee Brewers 4-3
  3. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Milwaukee Brewers 1-10
  4. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Milwaukee Brewers 4-5
  5. 23 Oct 2026Lostat Milwaukee Brewers 2-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals game? Tampa Bay Rays won their last meeting 5-2 on 2 July 2026.

How have Kansas City Royals and Tampa Bay Rays done lately? Kansas City Royals won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Tampa Bay Rays won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays: the season so far

From every final score this season

Kansas City Royals are 69-93 this season and Tampa Bay Rays are 106-70. Tampa Bay Rays are 60-29 at home. Kansas City Royals are 28-53 on the road. Tampa Bay Rays score 4.4 runs a game and let in 4.0. Kansas City Royals score 4.3 and let in 5.0. Tampa Bay Rays games have averaged 8.4 runs in total; Kansas City Royals games have averaged 9.3.

SeasonKansas City RoyalsTampa Bay Rays
Won-lost69-93106-70
At home41-4060-29
On the road28-5346-41
Last 102-85-5
Runs scored a game4.34.4
Runs let in a game5.04.0
Runs scored at home4.94.5
Runs scored away3.64.4
Against winning sides21-4844-32
Current runWon 1Lost 1
Biggest win15-1 vs Philadelphia Phillies12-1 at Philadelphia Phillies
Heaviest loss22-1 at Chicago White Sox14-3 vs Los Angeles Angels

Teams they have both played

  • Against Milwaukee Brewers: Tampa Bay Rays lost 1-4 at home; Kansas City Royals lost 5-8 at home.
  • Against Cleveland Guardians: Tampa Bay Rays won 7-3 at home; Kansas City Royals won 3-2 at home.
  • Against New York Yankees: Tampa Bay Rays won 4-3 on the road; Kansas City Royals lost 0-7 at home.

Quick answers

How are Tampa Bay Rays doing this season? Tampa Bay Rays are 106-70 this season: 60-29 at home and 46-41 on the road.

How many runs do Kansas City Royals score a game? Kansas City Royals score 4.3 runs a game this season and let in 5.0, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 14–11 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 8.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 2 Jul 2026, Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals: the Rays won 5-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals2–5Tampa Bay Rays
1 Jul 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals0–4Tampa Bay Rays
30 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals4–10Tampa Bay Rays
25 Jun 2026Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays13–2Tampa Bay Rays
24 Jun 2026Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays5–3Tampa Bay Rays
23 Jun 2026Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays5–12Kansas City Royals
22 Jun 2026Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays1–2Kansas City Royals
26 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals0–4Tampa Bay Rays
25 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals0–3Tampa Bay Rays
24 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals1–5Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

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