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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Turf Moor, Burnley
Outdoor
Newcastle United
VS
Burnley

Newcastle United vs Burnley Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 7 markets for Newcastle United vs Burnley and backs No hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $205.

7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Not both teams to score
No Both Teams to Score
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50Best price+105
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.1%
The price says48.8%

The model graded 7 markets for Newcastle United vs Burnley (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No High63% chance +105
Draw No Bet Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean52% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+105
+ 6 more markets
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All 7 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,199+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Burnley: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ BurnleyNo line posted
2-7-11Burnley form 2023-24
Draw22%Home form2-7-11

Burnley vs Newcastle United moneyline; the model reads Burnley's win chance at 34% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreNewcastle United @ BurnleyNo line posted
60%both teams score %
Burnley75%

Burnley vs Newcastle United both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsNewcastle United @ BurnleyNo line posted
77%model over %
Home ov2.565%

Burnley vs Newcastle United total-goals angle; the model prices Over at 77% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Newcastle United @ Burnley — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Newcastle United at Burnley — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Burnley in the Soccer. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Newcastle United vs Burnley head-to-head record

Final scores · 16 meetings on record
Newcastle United 10–2 across the last 16 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 2.6 goals (meetings on record since 2014)

Last meeting: Tue 30 Dec 2025, Newcastle United at Burnley: Newcastle United won 3-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
30 Dec 2025Newcastle United @ Burnley1–3Newcastle United
6 Dec 2025Burnley @ Newcastle United2–1Newcastle United
4 May 2024Newcastle United @ Burnley1–4Newcastle United
30 Sep 2023Burnley @ Newcastle United2–0Newcastle United
22 May 2022Newcastle United @ Burnley1–2Newcastle United
4 Dec 2021Burnley @ Newcastle United1–0Newcastle United
11 Apr 2021Newcastle United @ Burnley1–2Newcastle United
3 Oct 2020Burnley @ Newcastle United3–1Newcastle United
29 Feb 2020Burnley @ Newcastle United0–0Draw
14 Dec 2019Newcastle United @ Burnley1–0Burnley

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 16 meetings on file.

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