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Model picks & player props
Newcastle United
VS
Leeds United

Newcastle United vs Leeds United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 26, 7:05PM UTC

Our model graded 21 markets for Newcastle United vs Leeds United and backs Newcastle United 2.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $105.

Soccer
Elland Road, Leeds
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 7:00PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Newcastle United 2.5 Spread -2000

The model graded 21 markets for Newcastle United vs Leeds United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $105 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 7:00PM at Elland Road.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win92.1%
The price says88.4%
Best price-2000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Newcastle United 2.5 High92% chance -2000
Spread Members only High98% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Lean46% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High96% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
Total Corners Members only High95% chance Members
Shots × 1 prop Long-shotup to 14% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Newcastle United and Leeds United last met on Mon 14 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 1.5 · $100 returned $124

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 96 of 198 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 24
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Newcastle United
-1.5
+480
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 58,104+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jayden Bogle Sheffield United Shots

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted
3-5-12Leeds United form 2022-23
Home form3-5-12

Leeds United vs Newcastle United moneyline. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreNewcastle United @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted
56%both teams score %
Leeds Unit70%

Leeds United vs Newcastle United both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 56% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

SpreadNewcastle United @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted

Leeds United on the -0.25 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 44%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Newcastle United @ Leeds United — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Newcastle United at Leeds United — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
14 Sep 26 Spread Leeds United +3.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Total Goals Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Total Corners Under 16.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Spread Leeds United +2.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Spread Newcastle United +3.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Total Goals Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Leeds United in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Monday 14 September 2026 at Elland Road. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
Leeds United 3–2 across the last 9 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 3.2 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Sep 2026Newcastle United @ Leeds United4–1Leeds United
7 Jan 2026Leeds United @ Newcastle United4–3Newcastle United
30 Aug 2025Newcastle United @ Leeds United0–0Draw
13 May 2023Newcastle United @ Leeds United2–2Draw
31 Dec 2022Leeds United @ Newcastle United0–0Draw
22 Jan 2022Newcastle United @ Leeds United0–1Newcastle United
17 Sep 2021Leeds United @ Newcastle United1–1Draw
26 Jan 2021Leeds United @ Newcastle United1–2Leeds United
16 Dec 2020Newcastle United @ Leeds United5–2Leeds United
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