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Model picks & player props
Newcastle United
VS
Leeds United

Newcastle United vs Leeds United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 3, 3:06PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Elland Road, Leeds
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 7:00PM
15
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Newcastle United 2.5 Spread -2000

The model graded 15 markets for Newcastle United vs Leeds United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $105 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 7:00PM at Elland Road.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win94.0%
The price says88.4%
Best price-2000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Newcastle United 2.5 High94% chance -2000
Spread High98% chance —
Spread High65% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean52% chance —
Spread Lean52% chance —
Spread Lean58% chance —
Spread Lean45% chance —
Total Goals High98% chance —
Total Goals High69% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 70 right (soccer total goals overs)
This bet type · last timeAug 30
Over 1.5
Brentford @ Leeds United
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $127
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Newcastle United
+3.5
-10000
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted
3-5-12Leeds United form 2022-23
Home form3-5-12

Leeds United vs Newcastle United moneyline.

Newcastle United @ Leeds United — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for Newcastle United at Leeds United — 15 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Leeds United in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Monday 14 September 2026 at Elland Road. The model has generated 15 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 8 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 3.0 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
7 Jan 2026Leeds United @ Newcastle United4–3Newcastle United
30 Aug 2025Newcastle United @ Leeds United0–0Draw
13 May 2023Newcastle United @ Leeds United2–2Draw
31 Dec 2022Leeds United @ Newcastle United0–0Draw
22 Jan 2022Newcastle United @ Leeds United0–1Newcastle United
17 Sep 2021Leeds United @ Newcastle United1–1Draw
26 Jan 2021Leeds United @ Newcastle United1–2Leeds United
16 Dec 2020Newcastle United @ Leeds United5–2Leeds United
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