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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 14 Nov 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Kansas State Wildcats
4-5 · 0-3 awayLWLLL
VS
TCU Horned Frogs
4-5 · 3-3 at homeLWLWL
Our model's predicted score: TCU Horned Frogs 27.2 – Kansas State Wildcats 19.9

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction & Picks · Sat 14 Nov

Model updated Nov 10, 7:51AM UTC

Our model graded 6 markets for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs and backs Kansas State Wildcats hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $430.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Kansas State Wildcats
to win
Kansas State Wildcats Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$43.00Best price+330
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.3%
The price says23.4%

The model graded 6 markets for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $430 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Nov 2026, 2:00 PM ET.

Saturday 14 November 2026: Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Kansas State Wildcats Lean46% chance +330
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
TCU Horned Frogs are the model's favourite to beat Kansas State Wildcats, with a 66% chance to win. Predicted score: TCU Horned Frogs 27.2 – Kansas State Wildcats 19.9. Kick-off Sat 14 Nov, 2:00 PM ET. Best bet: Kansas State Wildcats at +330.
How they've been scoring this season
Kansas State WildcatsTCU Horned Frogs
Won-lost4-54-5
Points scored per game31.323.8
Points allowed per game26.815.8
On the road / at home0-3 away3-3 at home
Last 5 gamesLWLLLLWLWL
Their games average 48.8 total points this season.
From the 9 Kansas State Wildcats and 9 TCU Horned Frogs games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Frogs about 7 in 10 to win.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Kansas State Wildcats lost 3 straight games up to Saturday 7 November.
  • On Saturday 7 November, Kansas State Wildcats lost 66-28 at home to Oklahoma State Cowboys. On Friday 6 November, TCU Horned Frogs lost 29-28 on the road to Arizona Wildcats.
  • In their 5 games up to Saturday 7 November, Kansas State Wildcats gave up 36.0 points a game, up from 26.8 across the season.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Kansas State Wildcats
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Kansas State WildcatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas State WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas State WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Kansas State Wildcats on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Kansas State Wildcats
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Kansas State Wildcats
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas State Wildcats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

TCU Horned Frogs

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 11 Nov

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 14 November 2026, TCU Horned Frogs play Kansas State Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, TCU Horned Frogs host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kansas State Wildcats 10.5 Point Spread. On this line Kansas State Wildcats start with 10.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 45.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, TCU Horned Frogs host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 45.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 45.5 points between them. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kansas State Wildcats to Win (+330)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, TCU Horned Frogs host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kansas State Wildcats Moneyline. This one only needs Kansas State Wildcats to win the game. It was priced at +340 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $44 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +330 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $43 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads TCU Horned Frogs v Kansas State Wildcats. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs — where the money went

Since betting opened on Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs, the market has moved away from Kansas State Wildcats across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Kansas State Wildcats▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — TCU Horned Frogs▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 44.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 44.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — TCU Horned Frogs -8.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Kansas State Wildcats 8.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 46.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 46.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs — model preview

TCU Horned Frogs v Kansas State Wildcats, 14 November 2026. Top of the list: Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 14 November 2026, TCU Horned Frogs play Kansas State Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Kansas State Wildcats +10.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, TCU Horned Frogs host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kansas State Wildcats 10.5 Point Spread. On this line Kansas State Wildcats start with 10.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Wildcats vs Frogs, or as Frogs vs Wildcats. The next scheduled game is Saturday 14 November 2026. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Kansas State Wildcats play TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday 14 November 2026. Kick-off is 2:00 PM ET. It is a college football game.

Kansas State Wildcats: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostvs Oklahoma State Cowboys 28-66
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Colorado Buffaloes 24-27
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Arizona State Sun Devils 17-28
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Kansas Jayhawks 35-24
  5. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Houston Cougars 16-35

TCU Horned Frogs: last 5 results

  1. 6 Nov 2026Lostat Arizona Wildcats 28-29
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Kansas Jayhawks 22-16
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs West Virginia Mountaineers 20-24
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Baylor Bears 17-6
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs BYU Cougars 10-17

Quick answers

When is Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs? Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs is on Saturday 14 November 2026. Kick-off is 2:00 PM ET.

How have Kansas State Wildcats and TCU Horned Frogs done lately? Kansas State Wildcats won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. TCU Horned Frogs won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs: the season so far

From every final score this season

Kansas State Wildcats are 4-5 this season and TCU Horned Frogs are 4-5. TCU Horned Frogs are 3-3 at home. Kansas State Wildcats are 0-3 on the road. TCU Horned Frogs score 23.8 points a game and let in 15.8. Kansas State Wildcats score 31.3 and let in 26.8. TCU Horned Frogs games have averaged 39.6 points in total; Kansas State Wildcats games have averaged 58. Kansas State Wildcats have lost their last 3.

SeasonKansas State WildcatsTCU Horned Frogs
Won-lost4-54-5
At home4-23-3
On the road0-31-2
Points scored a game31.323.8
Points let in a game26.815.8
Points scored at home35.826.0
Points scored away22.319.3
Against winning sides0-41-5
Current runLost 3Lost 1
Biggest win71-3 vs Nicholls Colonels63-7 vs Grambling Tigers
Heaviest loss66-28 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys21-13 at UCF Knights

Teams they have both played

  • Against Kansas Jayhawks: TCU Horned Frogs won 22-16 at home; Kansas State Wildcats won 35-24 at home.

Rest before this game

TCU Horned Frogs last played on Friday 6 November, 8 days before this game. Kansas State Wildcats last played on Saturday 7 November, 7 days before.

Quick answers

How are TCU Horned Frogs doing this season? TCU Horned Frogs are 4-5 this season: 3-3 at home and 1-2 on the road.

How many points do Kansas State Wildcats score a game? Kansas State Wildcats score 31.3 points a game this season and let in 26.8, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

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