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Model picks & player props
Brentford
VS
Burnley

Brentford vs Burnley Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 28, 5:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Turf Moor, Burnley
Outdoor
Sat 28 Feb 2026, 3:00PM
14
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Yes (Both Teams to Score)
For Brentford vs Burnley (Soccer), model win probability 66.9%, fair odds 1.50, book price -141, model edge +8.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 28 Feb 2026, 3:00PM at Turf Moor.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Both Teams to Score
Yes
-141
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
YesBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Brentford

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Brentford vs Burnley: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBrentford @ BurnleyNo line posted
2-0-2H2H (last 4)
Draw21%Home form2-7-11Away form9-5-6
H2H home wins2 / 4 home

In their last 4 meetings, Burnley have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetBrentford @ BurnleyNo line posted
2-0-2H2H (last 4)
Home GF/g1.2Away GF/g1.6

Burnley to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 33%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBrentford @ BurnleyNo line posted
67%BTTS %
2 / 4H2H both scored
Burnley75%Brentford45%Model16-11
H2H both scored2 / 4 BTTS

Both teams scored in 75% of Burnley's and 45% of Brentford's recent matches; the model prices BTTS Yes at 67% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBrentford @ BurnleyNo line posted
3 / 4H2H over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.545%H2H avg3.0
H2H over 2.53 / 4 over

The last 4 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Feb 26 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Moneyline Burnley ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 Draw No Bet Burnley ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Burnley ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Brentford vs Burnley in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 28 February 2026 at Turf Moor. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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