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Soccer

Burnley

Next game: Burnley play at Watford on Saturday 10 October. The market makes Burnley about a 4 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $2.43, and a draw about a 3 in 10 chance. 7 of Burnley's last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals. See the game preview

Next Game: vs Watford (Away) Sat 10 Oct, 2:00PM Vicarage Road, Watford · Outdoor

How the price moved

When prices opened: Burnley about 4 in 10 to win. Now: about 4 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Watfordabout 3 in 10$3.11$2.95
Drawabout 3 in 10$3.75$3.60
Burnleyabout 4 in 10$2.43$2.38

On this match the bookies keep about $7.10 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 43 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Model updated Oct 7, 6:33AM UTC
Answer
The Burnley model is leaning Watford in the Draw No Bet market vs Watford.
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Today's Game Pick

Our call
Draw No Bet
Watford
Odds: +105
Our numbers say this wins about 50 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands
+11.4%
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Burnley fixtures and results, 2026-27

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams scoredGame
Sun 16 Augvs West Ham UnitedD 2-2YesYes–
Sun 23 Augat West Bromwich AlbionL 1-3YesYes–
Sat 29 Augat Norwich CityL 1-4YesYes–
Wed 2 Sepvs MiddlesbroughD 1-1NoYes–
Sat 5 Sepvs Bristol CityL 1-2YesYes–
Tue 8 Sepat Wrexham AFCD 1-1NoYes–
Sat 12 Sepat Swansea CityL 1-3YesYesGame page
Sat 19 Sepvs Derby CountyD 1-1NoYesGame page
Sat 10 Octat WatfordUpcoming · 3:00 PM UK time––Preview
Tue 13 Octvs Charlton AthleticUpcoming · 7:45 PM UK time––Preview

Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often Burnley games have goals

Team history

In 2025-26, 19 of Burnley's 38 league games had over 2.5 goals (6 of 19 at home), and both teams scored in 22. So far in 2026-27: 5 of 8 had over 2.5 goals.

SeasonOver 2.5 goals at homeOver 2.5 goals awayOver 2.5 goals, allBoth teams scoredResults
2026-27 (so far)2 of 43 of 45 of 88 of 80 won, 4 drew, 4 lost
2025-26 · Premier League6 of 1913 of 1919 of 3822 of 384 won, 10 drew, 24 lost
2024-258 of 237 of 2315 of 4614 of 4628 won, 16 drew, 2 lost
2023-24 · Premier League11 of 1912 of 1923 of 3824 of 385 won, 9 drew, 24 lost
2022-2314 of 2310 of 2324 of 4624 of 4629 won, 14 drew, 3 lost
2021-22 · Premier League7 of 197 of 1914 of 3818 of 387 won, 14 drew, 17 lost
2020-21 · Premier League7 of 199 of 1916 of 3814 of 3810 won, 9 drew, 19 lost
2019-20 · Premier League9 of 199 of 1918 of 3815 of 3815 won, 9 drew, 14 lost
What do these numbers mean?

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the game. Both teams scored means each side scored at least once. Complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Draw No BetWith Pro
Draw No BetWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
Both Teams to ScoreWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro

The model has graded 9 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Moneylinevs Charlton Athletic (H)No line posted
2-7-11W-D-L, last 20 2023-24
GF/g1.2GA/g2.1
Last 10 results2 W / 10

Burnley have gone 2-7-11 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.1 goals per game.

Both Teams to Scorevs Charlton Athletic (H)No line posted
75%both teams scored, last 20 2023-24
GF/g1.2GA/g2.1
Both scored (last 10)9 / 10 both scored

Both teams have scored in 75% of Burnley's last 20 matches.

Total Goalsvs Charlton Athletic (H)No line posted
65%over 2.5, last 20 2023-24
Avg goals3.3
Over 2.5 (last 10)6 / 10 over

Over 2.5 goals landed in 65% of Burnley's last 20 matches (avg 3.3 goals).

Latest match preview

Burnley's latest Bet Better match preview covers Liverpool vs Burnley, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.

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Questions about Burnley

When do Burnley play next?

Burnley play at Watford on Saturday 10 October 2026.

How often do Burnley games have over 2.5 goals?

In 2025-26, 19 of Burnley's 38 league games had over 2.5 goals (6 of 19 at home). So far in 2026-27: 5 of 8 had over 2.5 goals.

How often do both teams score in Burnley games?

In 2025-26, both teams scored in 22 of Burnley's 38 league games.

Where can I see Burnley's next game preview?

Bet Better's Watford vs Burnley game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Burnley are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Watford on Saturday 10 October at Vicarage Road. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Burnley.

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