Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Soccer
Anfield, Liverpool
Outdoor
Sat 17 Jan 2026, 3:00 PM UK time
Burnley
VS
Liverpool

Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 6 markets for Burnley vs Liverpool and backs Burnley hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $900.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Burnley
Burnley Head to Head (3-Way)
You bet$10 If it wins$90.00Best price+800
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win20.2%
The price says11.1%

The model graded 6 markets for Burnley vs Liverpool (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $900 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Jan 2026, 3:00 PM UK time at Anfield.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Burnley Long-shot20% chance +800
Moneyline Members only Long-shot20% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only High97% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean49% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Burnley and Liverpool last met on Sat 17 Jan 2026: the game ended level at 1-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Burnley
+800
+ 5 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 6 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
BurnleyHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Burnley vs Liverpool: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
6-1-1past meetings (last 8)
Draw31%Home form13-5-2Away form2-7-11
past meetings, home wins6 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Liverpool have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
97%Liverpool win %
6-1-1past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g2.3Away GF/g1.2

Liverpool to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 97%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
60%both teams score %
2 / 8past meetings, both scored
Liverpool65%Burnley75%Free board17-15
past meetings, both scored2 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Liverpool's and 75% of Burnley's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBurnley @ LiverpoolNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg2.3
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.3 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Burnley @ Liverpool — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Burnley at Liverpool — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Burnley @ Liverpool — model preview

Winning soccer bets for Liverpool vs Burnley? We break down EPL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Hugo Ekitike. Explore EPL predictions, EPL game picks, soccer betting preview, Liverpool vs Burnley stats and odds.

Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Hugo Ekitike has a higher goal and shot average in away games, which is relevant as Burnley will be playing away against Liverpool. His average away goals stand at 0.6 compared to 0.2 overall, a threefold increase. Similarly, his shots on target average also increases to 1.6 in away games from an overall average of 0.6. This demonstrates his enhanced performance in away matches. Although his current hit streak is zero, the increased averages in away games indicate a higher probability of scoring. The model prediction of 0.62 also supports this, suggesting a favorable outcome. Therefore, betting on Ekitike as an anytime goalscorer is a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Burnley vs Liverpool in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 January 2026 at Anfield. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Burnley vs Liverpool head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Liverpool 15–2 across the last 20 meetings · 3 draws · these games average 2.6 goals (meetings on record since 2009)

Last meeting: Sat 17 Jan 2026, Burnley at Liverpool: the game ended level at 1-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
17 Jan 2026Burnley @ Liverpool1–1Draw
14 Sep 2025Liverpool @ Burnley0–1Liverpool
10 Feb 2024Burnley @ Liverpool3–1Liverpool
26 Dec 2023Liverpool @ Burnley0–2Liverpool
13 Feb 2022Liverpool @ Burnley0–1Liverpool
21 Aug 2021Burnley @ Liverpool2–0Liverpool
19 May 2021Liverpool @ Burnley0–3Liverpool
21 Jan 2021Burnley @ Liverpool0–1Burnley
11 Jul 2020Burnley @ Liverpool1–1Draw
31 Aug 2019Liverpool @ Burnley0–3Liverpool

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.