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Model picks & player props
Aston Villa
VS
Newcastle United

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 3:58PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Outdoor
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +144

The model graded 3 markets for Aston Villa vs Newcastle United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $244 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.9%
The price says41.0%
Best price+144
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No High61% chance +144
Head to Head (3-Way) High65% chance —
Moneyline High65% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+144
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineAston Villa @ Newcastle UnitedNo line posted
65%Newcastle United win %
Draw24%Away form11-5-4

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa moneyline; the model reads Newcastle United's win chance at 65% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetAston Villa @ Newcastle UnitedNo line posted
81%Newcastle United win %
Away GF/g1.6

Newcastle United to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 81%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreAston Villa @ Newcastle UnitedNo line posted
56%both teams score %
Aston Vill60%

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 56% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Aston Villa @ Newcastle United — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Aston Villa at Newcastle United — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Aston Villa vs Newcastle United in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Villa vs United, or as United vs Villa. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 30 meetings on record
Newcastle United 12–9 across the last 30 meetings · 9 draws · these games average 2.3 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Jan 2026Aston Villa @ Newcastle United0–2Aston Villa
16 Aug 2025Newcastle United @ Aston Villa0–0Draw
19 Apr 2025Newcastle United @ Aston Villa4–1Aston Villa
26 Dec 2024Aston Villa @ Newcastle United3–0Newcastle United
30 Jan 2024Newcastle United @ Aston Villa1–3Newcastle United
12 Aug 2023Aston Villa @ Newcastle United5–1Newcastle United
15 Apr 2023Newcastle United @ Aston Villa3–0Aston Villa
29 Oct 2022Aston Villa @ Newcastle United4–0Newcastle United
13 Feb 2022Aston Villa @ Newcastle United1–0Newcastle United
21 Aug 2021Newcastle United @ Aston Villa2–0Aston Villa

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 30 meetings on file.

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