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Model picks & player props
Bournemouth
VS
Burnley

Bournemouth vs Burnley Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 1:06PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Turf Moor, Burnley
Outdoor
Sat 14 Mar 2026, 3:00PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Bournemouth Head to Head (3-Way) -120

The model graded 6 markets for Bournemouth vs Burnley (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $183 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Mar 2026, 3:00PM at Turf Moor.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.8%
The price says54.6%
Best price-120
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Bournemouth High66% chance -120
Moneyline High66% chance —
Draw No Bet High76% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Bournemouth and Burnley last met on Sat 14 Mar 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Bournemouth
-120
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
BournemouthHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BournemouthMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BournemouthDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Bournemouth vs Burnley: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBournemouth @ BurnleyNo line posted
5-0-3past meetings (last 8)
Bournemouth66%Home form2-7-11Away form7-7-6
past meetings, home wins5 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Burnley have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3; the model reads Burnley's win chance at 27% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBournemouth @ BurnleyNo line posted
55%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Burnley75%Bournemout55%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 75% of Burnley's and 55% of Bournemouth's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 55% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBournemouth @ BurnleyNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.560%past meetings avg2.9
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.9 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Bournemouth @ Burnley — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Bournemouth at Burnley — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Bournemouth vs Burnley in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 14 March 2026 at Turf Moor. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Burnley 6–4 across the last 12 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 2.8 goals (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Mar 2026Bournemouth @ Burnley0–0Draw
20 Dec 2025Burnley @ Bournemouth1–1Draw
3 Mar 2024Bournemouth @ Burnley0–2Bournemouth
28 Oct 2023Burnley @ Bournemouth2–1Bournemouth
22 Feb 2020Bournemouth @ Burnley3–0Burnley
21 Dec 2019Burnley @ Bournemouth0–1Burnley
6 Apr 2019Burnley @ Bournemouth1–3Burnley
22 Sep 2018Bournemouth @ Burnley4–0Burnley
13 May 2018Bournemouth @ Burnley1–2Bournemouth
29 Nov 2017Burnley @ Bournemouth1–2Burnley

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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