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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Stamford Bridge, London
Outdoor
Sat 21 Feb 2026, 3:00 PM UK time
Burnley
VS
Chelsea

Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 13 markets for Burnley vs Chelsea and backs Burnley hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $900.

13
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Burnley
to win, money back on a draw
Burnley Draw No Bet
You bet$10 If it wins$90.00Best price+800
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win21.6%
The price says11.1%

The model graded 13 markets for Burnley vs Chelsea (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $900 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Feb 2026, 3:00 PM UK time at Stamford Bridge.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Burnley Long-shot22% chance +800
Draw No Bet Members only Long-shot22% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean56% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot14% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot14% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Burnley and Chelsea last met on Sat 21 Feb 2026: the game ended level at 1-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Burnley
+800
+ 12 more markets
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All 13 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 69,066+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
BurnleyDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ChelseaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Chelsea

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Burnley vs Chelsea: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBurnley @ ChelseaNo line posted
6-2-0past meetings (last 8)
Burnley14%Home form8-5-7Away form2-7-11
past meetings, home wins6 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Chelsea have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 0. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBurnley @ ChelseaNo line posted
52%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Chelsea50%Burnley75%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Chelsea's and 75% of Burnley's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 52% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBurnley @ ChelseaNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.555%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.6
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Burnley @ Chelsea — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for Burnley at Chelsea — 13 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 12 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Burnley vs Chelsea in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 21 February 2026 at Stamford Bridge. The model has generated 13 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Burnley vs Chelsea head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Chelsea 13–1 across the last 20 meetings · 6 draws · these games average 3.3 goals (meetings on record since 2009)

Last meeting: Sat 21 Feb 2026, Burnley at Chelsea: the game ended level at 1-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Feb 2026Burnley @ Chelsea1–1Draw
22 Nov 2025Chelsea @ Burnley0–2Chelsea
30 Mar 2024Burnley @ Chelsea2–2Draw
7 Oct 2023Chelsea @ Burnley1–4Chelsea
5 Mar 2022Chelsea @ Burnley0–4Chelsea
6 Nov 2021Burnley @ Chelsea1–1Draw
31 Jan 2021Burnley @ Chelsea2–0Chelsea
31 Oct 2020Chelsea @ Burnley0–3Chelsea
11 Jan 2020Burnley @ Chelsea3–0Chelsea
26 Oct 2019Chelsea @ Burnley2–4Chelsea

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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