Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Everton
VS
Burnley

Everton vs Burnley Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 1:50PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Turf Moor, Burnley
Outdoor
Sat 27 Dec 2025, 3:00PM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Burnley Head to Head (3-Way) +290

The model graded 12 markets for Everton vs Burnley (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $390 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 27 Dec 2025, 3:00PM at Turf Moor.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.6%
The price says25.6%
Best price+290
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Burnley Lean45% chance +290
Moneyline Lean45% chance —
Both Teams to Score High67% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean41% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Everton and Burnley last met on Sat 27 Dec 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
No · $100 returned $183

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund @ TSG Hoffenheim
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $182
Our call on this game: 3 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Burnley
+290
+ 11 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 12 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,565+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
BurnleyHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Everton

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Everton vs Burnley: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineEverton @ BurnleyNo line posted
3-1-4past meetings (last 8)
Home form2-7-11Away form6-8-6
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Burnley have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetEverton @ BurnleyNo line posted
3-1-4past meetings (last 8)
Home GF/g1.2Away GF/g1.3

Burnley to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 41%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreEverton @ BurnleyNo line posted
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Burnley75%Everton55%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 75% of Burnley's and 55% of Everton's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 50% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsEverton @ BurnleyNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg2.4
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.4 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Everton @ Burnley — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Everton at Burnley — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
27 Dec 25 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Everton vs Burnley in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 27 December 2025 at Turf Moor. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Everton 11–7 across the last 20 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 2.4 goals (meetings on record since 2009)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Mar 2026Burnley @ Everton2–0Everton
27 Dec 2025Everton @ Burnley0–0Draw
6 Apr 2024Burnley @ Everton1–0Everton
16 Dec 2023Everton @ Burnley0–2Everton
6 Apr 2022Everton @ Burnley3–2Burnley
13 Sep 2021Burnley @ Everton3–1Everton
13 Mar 2021Burnley @ Everton1–2Burnley
5 Dec 2020Everton @ Burnley1–1Draw
26 Dec 2019Burnley @ Everton1–0Everton
5 Oct 2019Everton @ Burnley1–0Burnley

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.