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Model picks & player props
Liverpool
VS
Newcastle United

Liverpool vs Newcastle United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 6:20PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 3:30PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Newcastle United 1 Spread -222

The model graded 20 markets for Liverpool vs Newcastle United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $145 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 3:30PM at St James' Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win74.5%
The price says63.3%
Best price-222
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Newcastle United 1 High74% chance -222
Spread High68% chance —
Spread High98% chance —
Spread Long-shot18% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean48% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot36% chance —
Total Corners High96% chance —
Spread Long-shot6% chance —
Total Corners High81% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Liverpool and Newcastle United last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Newcastle United 1 · $100 returned $145

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City @ FC Dallas
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $115
Our call on this game: 4 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Newcastle United
+1
-222
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,592+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Liverpool vs Newcastle United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GoalsLiverpool @ Newcastle UnitedNo line posted
86%model over %
Away ov2.565%

Newcastle United vs Liverpool total-goals angle; the model prices Over at 86% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Liverpool @ Newcastle United — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Liverpool at Newcastle United — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
18
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 16.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 15.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 17.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 14.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread Newcastle United +1 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Corners Under 13.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Goals Over 4.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Spread Newcastle United -2.5 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread Newcastle United +4.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Moneyline Draw ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Liverpool vs Newcastle United in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at St James' Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 35 meetings on record
Liverpool 23–4 across the last 35 meetings · 8 draws · these games average 3.3 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Liverpool @ Newcastle United2–2Draw
31 Jan 2026Newcastle United @ Liverpool4–1Liverpool
25 Aug 2025Liverpool @ Newcastle United2–3Liverpool
26 Feb 2025Newcastle United @ Liverpool2–0Liverpool
4 Dec 2024Liverpool @ Newcastle United3–3Draw
1 Jan 2024Newcastle United @ Liverpool4–2Liverpool
27 Aug 2023Liverpool @ Newcastle United1–2Liverpool
18 Feb 2023Liverpool @ Newcastle United0–2Liverpool
31 Aug 2022Newcastle United @ Liverpool2–1Liverpool
30 Apr 2022Liverpool @ Newcastle United0–1Liverpool

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 35 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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