On Saturday 29 August 2026, Liverpool play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +1.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -164 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
When Liverpool hosts Nottingham Forest, it’s a classic clash where recent form reveals an intriguing narrative. Liverpool's home record shows a mixed bag lately, with just one win in their last five matches and averaging only 1.6 goals scored at Anfield. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has highlighted their intent on the road, netting an impressive three goals per game in their last five away fixtures. This attacking potency, coupled with a solid defensive showing—allowing only 1.2 goals per game—positions them well for this matchup. With the Reds struggling to convert chances into xG, Nottingham can exploit that weakness. Their previous encounters have suggested they can hold their own against Liverpool, boasting a 2-1-2 record in their last five face-offs. Betting on Nottingham Forest to cover a 1.5 handicap feels like a savvy move, especially considering their upward momentum and Liverpool’s recent inconsistency.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +1.25 Goal Handicap (-141)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing As Liverpool prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the recent form of both teams paints an intriguing picture. Liverpool's home record shows cracks, with just two wins in their last five matches, and a concerning average of 1.6 goals at Anfield. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest's recent away performances have been more robust, netting an impressive 3 goals in their last outing, while conceding just 1.2 on average. With the teams evenly matched in their last five encounters (2 wins each and a draw), Nottingham's form suggests they're well-equipped to compete. Their ability to maintain solid defensive structure while capitalizing on Liverpool's vulnerabilities makes the +1.25 handicap a tempting proposition. Given the Reds' shaky home display, Nottingham Forest can very well keep the scoreline tight, if not snatch a result. This bet offers a blend of value and recent trends that shouldn’t be overlooked.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +2.5 Goal Handicap (-476)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing As Liverpool welcomes Nottingham Forest, the dynamics suggest a compelling bet on the visitors with a 2.5 handicap. While Liverpool's recent form at home shows they're struggling, averaging just 1.6 goals scored while conceding 0.8, Nottingham has demonstrated a more potent attack on the road, netting 3 goals per game in their last five away fixtures. This scoring prowess, coupled with Liverpool’s inconsistent defensive display, sets the stage for a potential upset. Nottingham's recent ability to score and assert themselves, averaging 5 shots on target in away matches, hints they can exploit Liverpool’s vulnerabilities. With the Reds’ home record of just one win in their last five, backing Nottingham to keep it within two goals feels like a savvy move. The blend of form, scoring averages, and the matchup history leans towards an exciting contest where Nottingham could very well outpace the home side.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-139)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing As Liverpool hosts Nottingham Forest, the stage is set for an exciting clash where goals are likely to flow. Despite a shaky home record recently, the Reds have averaged 1.6 goals at Anfield, with their opponents managing to score 0.8. Conversely, Forest has found their scoring boots away, averaging 3 goals in their last five matches on the road, indicating they’re more than capable of troubling Liverpool’s defense. Both teams have shown they can find the net, with recent matches suggesting a penchant for attacking football. Liverpool’s home matches have often seen them concede, and Nottingham’s away form reinforces their ability to capitalize on defensive lapses. With a solid trend of both sides scoring against each other in their last five encounters, betting on both teams to score adds an enticing layer to this matchup. Expect fireworks!
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-263)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing As Liverpool gears up to face Nottingham Forest, the corner count is poised for a thrilling ride. Liverpool's home matches have seen an average of 15.2 shots, translating into roughly 1.4 corners per game. Their aggressive style often results in sustained pressure, consistently pushing that corner tally up. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest, despite a mixed away form, has shown resilience, averaging 2.6 corners per game on the road recently. Both teams have a history of corner-heavy encounters, and with Liverpool's attacking intent and Forest’s tendency to defend deep, we can expect a flurry of corner kicks. Given that Liverpool has hit the over on this line in key matchups and their need for points makes it vital to maintain offensive momentum, betting on over 8.5 corners feels like the smart move here. Get ready for a corner-filled showdown!
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-500)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing As Liverpool hosts Nottingham Forest, the recent form on both sides paints a picture of a match likely to be tight on goals. Liverpool, despite their attacking prowess, has averaged just 1.6 goals at home recently, with their opponents managing a mere 0.8 goals. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, shows a similar trend, scoring an average of 1.4 goals in their last five outings. Both teams have struggled to convert their expected goals into significant scoring, with Liverpool's last five home matches yielding a modest average of 1.8. Moreover, Nottingham's defensive resilience has held their away opponents to an average of just 1.2 goals. With the stakes high, expect both teams to play cautiously, leading us to bet on the Under 4.5 total goals. The numbers suggest that a low-scoring affair is on the horizon, making this a compelling wager.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.