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Soccer

James Tarkowski

Burnley

Value call

James Tarkowski (Burnley) has one live pick today: over 0.5 assists that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.1 assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.1% · before adjusting for past results 9.6% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Everton @ Arsenal
Emirates Stadium, London, Greater London · Outdoor
Sat 24 Oct, 3:00 PM UK time
James Tarkowski
over 0.5 assists
Assists Over 0.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 7 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$230.00 Odds+2200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Tarkowski is Over 0.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 5:21PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,522 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists9.6%7.1%4.3%14.04+5.3%

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AI Analysis

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James Tarkowski (Everton) Over 0.5 Assists (+2200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Everton gears up to face Arsenal on Saturday, all eyes should be on James Tarkowski, particularly when considering a bet on him to notch over 0.5 assists. While his recent form shows an average of just 0.2 assists per game, Tarkowski has shown flashes of creativity from the back. In a pressure-filled away game at the Emirates, he might just surprise us. Arsenal’s high-paced attacking style could leave gaps in their defense, which Tarkowski could exploit. With Everton potentially spending more time defending, he could find himself in positions to launch quick counterattacks. While his key passes have been minimal lately, let’s not forget that he has a knack for picking out teammates during crucial moments, especially if he gets forward. A match against a top side like Arsenal could ignite that creativity, making the over 0.5 assists bet a tantalizing prospect.

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Pick History & Track Record

James Tarkowski — 2024 season

James Tarkowski scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 5 Premier League appearances for Everton in the 2024 season, from 3 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.4.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.4
xG
3
Shots
0
On target
0
Key passes
5
Apps
449
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Everton @ Arsenal Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

James Tarkowski (Burnley) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Tarkowski is Over 0.5 on Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Everton vs Arsenal on Saturday 24 October at Emirates Stadium, London. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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