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Model picks & player props
New Orleans Saints
VS
Detroit Lions

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 21, 1:25AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions and backs Under 17.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $420.

NFL
Detroit
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 17.5 Alternate Totals H1 +320

The model graded 70 markets for New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $420 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at Detroit.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.3%
The price says22.5%
Best price+320
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Totals H1 Under 17.5 Lean43% chance +320
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H2 Members only High76% chance Members
Moneyline 3 Way Q4 Members only Lean45% chance Members
Alternate Totals H2 Members only High68% chance Members
Totals H2 Members only High60% chance Members
Totals Q4 Members only Lean55% chance Members
Moneyline H2 Members only Lean42% chance Members
Moneyline Q3 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 82% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 99% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 98% Members
Receiving Yards × 3 props Highup to 72% Members
Interceptions Thrown × 1 prop Highup to 61% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

New Orleans Saints and Detroit Lions last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 17.5 · $100 returned $422

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 281 of 474 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 20
Cleveland Browns Over 6.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $109
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Totals H1
Under
17.5
+320
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,618+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneyline 3 Way Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotals Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneyline H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneyline Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneyline 3 Way Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New Orleans Saints

  • Kelvin Banks Jr. OTQuestionable
  • Martin Emerson Jr. CBQuestionable
  • Isaiah Stalbird LBOut
  • Christen Miller DTOut
  • Zach Wilson QBOut
  • Kendre Miller RBOut
  • Decamerion Richardson CBOut
  • John Ridgeway III DTOut
  • Mason Murphy OTOut
  • Zach Wood LSOut

Detroit Lions

  • Avonte Maddox CBQuestionable
  • Mekhi Wingo DTOut
  • Ennis Rakestraw Jr. CBOut
  • Jimmy Rolder LBOut
  • Ahmed Hassanein DEOut
  • Keith Abney II CBOut
  • Blake Miller OTOut
  • Christian Mahogany GOut
Availability updated Sep 20, 8:31PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Isaac TeSlaa DET Receptions
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET Receiving Yards (Alt)
Sam LaPorta DET Receiving Yards (Alt)
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET Receptions (Alt)
Jameson Williams DET Receptions (Alt)

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew Orleans Saints to winNo line posted

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDetroit Lions spreadNo line posted
7-4Free board · line bets
Last 106-4Home7-2
Free board · recent7-4

Detroit Lions spread — on our free board this call has landed 7 of 11 times, updated every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsSaints @ LionsNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions — recent results

Detroit Lions have won 3 of their last 5 games; New Orleans Saints have won 1 of their last 5.

Detroit Lions — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L31–41BUFAway
W31–30NOHome
W25–16INDAway
W17–13WSHHome
L14–16CINAway
New Orleans Saints — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L30–31DETAway
W27–24DALAway
L0–34LARAway
L20–24JAXHome
L17–19ATLAway

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Detroit Lions won 1, New Orleans Saints won 0.

DateDetroit LionsNew Orleans SaintsWinner
Sep 133130Detroit Lions

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Avonte Maddox CBQUESTIONABLE
Mekhi Wingo DTOUT
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. CBOUT
Jimmy Rolder LBOUT
Ahmed Hassanein DEOUT
Keith Abney II CBOUT
Blake Miller OTOUT
Christian Mahogany GOUT
New Orleans Saints
PlayerStatus
Kelvin Banks Jr. OTQUESTIONABLE
Martin Emerson Jr. CBQUESTIONABLE
Isaiah Stalbird LBOUT
Christen Miller DTOUT
Zach Wilson QBOUT
Kendre Miller RBOUT
Decamerion Richardson CBOUT
John Ridgeway III DTOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Totals Q4 Under 13.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Moneyline 3 Way Q4 New Orleans Saints ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Moneyline H2 New Orleans Saints ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Under 17.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Totals H1 Under 23.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Under 29.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Under 26.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Moneyline 3 Way Q1 Detroit Lions ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Moneyline Q4 New Orleans Saints ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Totals H1 Under 20.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Saints vs Lions, or as Lions vs Saints. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at Detroit. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 6 meetings on record
Detroit Lions 4–2 across the last 6 meetings · these games average 63.2 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions31–30Detroit Lions
3 Dec 2023Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints28–33Detroit Lions
4 Oct 2020New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions29–35New Orleans Saints
15 Oct 2017Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints52–38New Orleans Saints
4 Dec 2016Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints13–28Detroit Lions
21 Dec 2015Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints27–35Detroit Lions

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