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NFL

Colby Parkinson

LA

Value call

Colby Parkinson has one live pick today: over 9.5 receiving yards that pays $135 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
31.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 80.0% · before adjusting for past results 86.1% · the book's price implies 74.1% · gap +5.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Colby Parkinson
over 9.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 9.5 -286 (1.35) · $100→$135
Value call
HIGHWins about 80 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.50 Odds-286
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Colby Parkinson is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 80%, the price says 74%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 6:57PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Parkinson (ribs) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Chargers, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports.
updated Oct 30, 6:39PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)86.1%80.0%74.1%1.35+12.1%

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AI Analysis

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Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Rams: Colby Parkinson Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-286)

Odds correct at time of publishing

DraftKings is offering -286 for Colby Parkinson to get over 9.5 receiving yards, and our numbers think that's a solid bet. The Raiders' defense has had trouble covering tight ends, which plays right into Parkinson's hands. He's been getting more targets lately, and the Rams will likely rely on him to help move the chains. The main risk here is that both teams are fairly close in skill, so it could be a tight game. However, Parkinson's recent form and the Raiders' struggles against his position make this a good chance to see him go over that number.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (27 picks) 85.2% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards239 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over59%tips tracked239

Colby Parkinson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 239 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions88 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over71%tips tracked88

Colby Parkinson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 88 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
22%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Colby Parkinson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 22%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Colby Parkinson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over +138 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Colby Parkinson (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 85.2% on tracked Colby Parkinson picks. The latest model pick for Colby Parkinson is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 25 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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