Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Under 15.5 Rebounds (-500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the New York Knicks host the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Karl-Anthony Towns, but a closer look suggests a bet on him to grab under 15.5 rebounds is the way to go. Towns has been solid, averaging 12.2 rebounds across his last five games, but at home against the Pelicans, he's pulled down merely 10 rebounds per game. Now, while the big man can certainly dominate, his recent performances against New Orleans paint a more cautious picture-averaging only 11.8 rebounds. With the Knicks' defense tightening up at home, Towns is likely to find himself in a crowded paint against a team that excels at boxing out. Given a hit rate of 17 out of his last 20 games on this under, it's clear that tonight might lean toward a quieter night on the boards for him. Keep an eye on that rebound total; it's primed for a dip.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-417)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the New York Knicks host the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Mitchell Robinson. While he's been a rebounding force, averaging 12 boards over his last five games, the home numbers tell a different story. At Madison Square Garden, Robinson's average dips to just 7.4 rebounds per game. That's a striking contrast, especially when you consider he's faced the Pelicans multiple times, grabbing an average of 12 rebounds against them overall, but only 14 at home. With the Knicks' recent surge, it seems this matchup could see a focus on perimeter shooting, limiting Robinson's opportunities in the paint. The odds of him staying under 12.5 rebounds carry an impressive implied probability of 80.6%. Given his performance trends and the home dynamics, betting on the under feels like the savvy play here.

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-182)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When evaluating Dejounte Murray for the points and rebounds prop bet, the numbers tell a compelling story. Playing away against the Knicks, Murray has been a consistent force, averaging 22 points and 5 rebounds over his last five games. Even more impressive is his recent stretch, where he's hit the over in 8 of his last 9 outings. Against the Pelicans, he's showcased his scoring prowess, averaging 18.6 points per game when on the road versus this opponent, and his rebounding numbers tick up to 7.6. With an expected stat value of 25.27, it's clear he's poised for a standout performance. The implied probability of 64.5% suggests a strong likelihood of him surpassing the 19.5 mark. Given his current form and the favorable matchup, betting on Murray's over feels like a smart move.

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