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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bobby Portis is Over 13.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +7.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Bobby Portis

Milwaukee Bucks

+7.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Over 13.5 -125 (1.80)
+7.4% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI · Indoor
Sun 8 Mar, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
63.0%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+7.4%
Predicted Value
15.6 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts63.0%55.6%1.59+7.4%

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AI Analysis

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Bobby Portis (Milwaukee Bucks) Over 13.5 Points + Assists (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Milwaukee Bucks and Utah Jazz clash this Sunday, all eyes should be on Bobby Portis. This Bucks' powerhouse has been proving his mettle on the home court recently. He's been consistently hitting the mark, averaging 13.4 points and a solid 2.2 assists in the last five home games. That's just shy of the over 13.5 we're eyeing. But here's the kicker - Portis' performances against the Jazz have been even more impressive. He's averaged a whopping 16.2 points in their recent showdowns, and at home, that number nudges up to 16.3. Sure, his assists drop a touch against the Jazz, but his scoring prowess more than compensates. With a 6 out of 9 hit rate at home, Portis is certainly in his comfort zone. So, come Sunday, expect Portis to surpass that 13.5 mark, making the over a winning bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.8avg · last 10
L515.4Szn15.8Home15.2Away16.5Best42
6+95%
11+76%
16+44%
21+22%
26+9%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 14.8 · hi 29 · lo 4
812191418429131516

Bobby Portis is averaging 14.8 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.8, best 42). He clears 16+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bobby Portis (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bobby Portis is Over 13.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday 8 March at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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