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NBA

Bobby Portis

Miami Heat

Value call
🔥 14 Consecutive Hits

Bobby Portis (Miami Heat) has one live pick today: over 9.5 points that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
14.4 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.1% · before adjusting for past results 85.1% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap -10.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Bobby Portis
over 9.5 points
Points Over 9.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bobby Portis is Over 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 11:29AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points85.1%51.1%61.3%1.96+23.7%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Bobby Portis Over 9.5 Points (-159)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Bobby Portis to score over 9.5 points tonight, he just needs to find his rhythm against the Timberwolves. Miami has been playing well at home, and Portis has shown he can step up when the game needs it. With the Heat's fast pace and scoring power, there are plenty of chances for him to get those points. The Timberwolves can be tough, and they might keep the game close, which could limit Portis' time on the court. Still, our numbers see him as a strong favorite to hit that mark, especially with the way Miami has been scoring lately.

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Pick History & Track Record

Bobby Portis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 55 games in the 2024-25 season, Bobby Portis averaged 13.7 points, 8.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 25.8 minutes per game, shooting 46.0% from the field and 36.4% from three-point range.

13.7
PPG
8.4
RPG
2.1
APG
0.7
SPG
0.5
BPG
25.8
MPG
46.0%
FG%
36.4%
3P%

Bobby Portis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Bobby Portis has played 31.6 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

31.6
MPG (L5)
14.0
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Bobby Portis — points hit rate

Bobby Portis has scored over 11.5 points in 43% of 499 career games.

o11.543%
o12.535%
o15.524%

Bobby Portis — home vs away scoring

At home Bobby Portis averages 13.3 points per game; on the road, 14.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.3
PPG at home
14.2
PPG on the road

Bobby Portis — scoring by opponent

Bobby Portis scores most against the UTAH, averaging 14.8 points per game in that matchup.

14.8
UTAH
14.7
POR
14.7
MIN
14.6
CHA
14.1
ORL
14.1
GS

Bobby Portis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Bobby Portis has averaged 13.4 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
29 Apr@ IND4414102
27 Aprvs IND251431
25 Aprvs IND321083
22 Apr@ IND3228121
19 Apr@ IND25480
11 Apr@ DET3317101
10 Aprvs NO221480
8 Aprvs MIN2918101
12 Feb@ MIN23864
10 Febvs GS26771
Quick answers:How many assists does Bobby Portis average?How many points does Bobby Portis average?How many rebounds does Bobby Portis average?How many three-pointers does Bobby Portis average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat Points — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bobby Portis (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Bobby Portis is currently on a 14-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Bobby Portis is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat on Wednesday 21 October at Kaseya Center, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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