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Model picks & player props
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
Toronto Raptors

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 9:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
2
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Oklahoma City Thunder (Moneyline)
The model graded 5 markets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 78.0%, fair odds 1.28, book price +120, model edge +32.5%.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle CDay-to-day
  • Alijah Martin GDay-to-day
  • Chucky Hepburn GDay-to-day
  • Collin Murray-Boyles FDay-to-day
  • Brandon Ingram FDay-to-day
  • Immanuel Quickley GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 30, 3:59PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jamal Shead Toronto Raptors Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jamal Shead Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandon Ingram New Orleans Pelicans Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsOklahoma City Thunder @ Toronto RaptorsNo line posted

Toronto Raptors and Oklahoma City Thunder combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadToronto Raptors spreadNo line posted

Toronto Raptors (season record) meet Oklahoma City Thunder; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineToronto Raptors to winNo line posted

Toronto Raptors (season record) host or visit Oklahoma City Thunder; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Toronto Raptors totalNo line posted

Toronto Raptors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Toronto Raptors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Toronto Raptors — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Oklahoma City Thunder at Toronto Raptors — 2 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors — recent results

Toronto Raptors have won 0 of their last 0 games; Oklahoma City Thunder have won 0 of their last 1.

Oklahoma City Thunder — last 1
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L103–111SAHome

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Raptors
PlayerStatus
Nate Bittle CDAY-TO-DAY
Alijah Martin GDAY-TO-DAY
Chucky Hepburn GDAY-TO-DAY
Collin Murray-Boyles FDAY-TO-DAY
Brandon Ingram FDAY-TO-DAY
Immanuel Quickley GDAY-TO-DAY
Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Otega Oweh GDAY-TO-DAY
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Toronto Raptors — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder. Includes analysis on key players like Luguentz Dort. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder stats and odds.

Luguentz Dort (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to sinking three-pointers, Luguentz Dort of the Oklahoma City Thunder is a force to be reckoned with. Heading into the showdown against the Toronto Raptors, Dort's track record is eye-catching. He's been hitting an average of 2.2 three-pointers overall in his last five games and a decent 1.8 from downtown when on the road. When matched up against the Raptors, he's even outdone himself by averaging 2 treys per game. Now, it's true that his performance against Toronto on their home turf is a little less impressive, with an average of just 0.7 three-pointers. But let's not forget that Dort has been on point with his threes in two out of his last three games. So, betting on Dort to make over 1.5 threes in this game is a shot worth taking.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Thunder vs Raptors, or as Raptors vs Thunder. The model has generated 2 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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