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NBA

Scottie Barnes

Toronto Raptors

Value call

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) has one live pick today: under 6.5 assists that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
5.1 assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 79.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +25.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 1:00 PM ET
Scottie Barnes
under 6.5 assists
Assists Under 6.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Scottie Barnes is Under 6.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:32AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists79.0%—53.2%1.27+25.8%

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AI Analysis

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Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 6.5 Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors roll into Cleveland, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but there's reason to believe he might struggle to hit the over on 6.5 assists. Away from home, his numbers have dipped, averaging just 6.2 assists against the Cavaliers in their last matchup. While he's proven to be a playmaker, his recent form shows he's only cleared this mark in 3 of his last 4 games. Cleveland's defense is known for tightening up, especially against versatile players like Barnes, and they've been particularly effective in limiting assists. With an average of 5.07 expected assists factoring into this matchup, it feels like the under is the safer route. Given that he's only exceeded 6.5 assists in 10 of his last 15 away games, betting on the under seems like a smart play as he navigates a challenging Cavs' defense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Scottie Barnes — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Scottie Barnes averaged 19.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 5.8 assists in 32.9 minutes per game, shooting 44.6% from the field and 27.1% from three-point range.

19.3
PPG
7.7
RPG
5.8
APG
1.4
SPG
1.0
BPG
32.9
MPG
44.6%
FG%
27.1%
3P%

Scottie Barnes — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Scottie Barnes has played 27.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.8
MPG (L5)
18.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Scottie Barnes — points hit rate

Scottie Barnes has scored over 15.5 points in 47% of 64 career games.

o11.563%
o12.559%
o15.547%
o20.522%

Scottie Barnes — home vs away scoring

At home Scottie Barnes averages 18.4 points per game; on the road, 20.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.4
PPG at home
20.2
PPG on the road

Scottie Barnes — scoring by opponent

Scottie Barnes scores most against the IND, averaging 21.1 points per game in that matchup.

21.1
IND
20.4
ATL
19.7
BKN
17.7
MIA
17.2
CHA
16.9
BOS

Scottie Barnes — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Scottie Barnes has averaged 16.9 points, 7.1 rebounds and 5.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ SA3735118
11 Apr@ DAL312693
9 Aprvs CHA2017115
3 Aprvs POR27525
1 Apr@ CHI24944
30 Mar@ PHI28954
28 Marvs CHA271866
26 Mar@ BKN281575
24 Mar@ WSH2813108
23 Marvs SA302266
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Assists 6.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 9.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs 29.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Points — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Scottie Barnes is Under 6.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.8% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday 18 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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