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The latest Bet Better model pick for Stephon Castle is Under 31.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts.
On the Pts + Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +23.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs

+23.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 31.5 -114 (1.88)
+23.1% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.3%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+23.1%
Predicted Value
26.1 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts76.3%—53.2%1.31+23.1%

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AI Analysis

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Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Under 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs host the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes will be on Stephon Castle, but betting on him to stay under 31.5 points, rebounds, and assists might be the prudent play. Despite showing flashes of brilliance at home with an average of 21.4 points and 8.2 assists over his last five games at the AT&T Center, consistency is key. When facing the 76ers, his numbers dip; he averages only 16.3 points and 4 rebounds against them, and even less at home. Castle's overall impact in recent games shows he's been hovering around 26.11 for combined stats, well below our target. With a hit rate of just 11 of his last 20 games hitting this mark, it's clear he's capable but may struggle against a strong Philadelphia defense. Trust the numbers; this could be a night where he falls short.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers MadeSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active 3-Pointers Made prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

StealsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Steals prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 31.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Asts 26.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Asts 25.5 Under -104 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stephon Castle is Under 31.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday 7 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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