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NBA

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs

+4.3% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 40.5 -1250 (1.08)
+4.3% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood
Tue 17 Mar, 2:00AM
Model Probability
96.9%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value
26.2 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Clippers and Spurs, targeting Stephon Castle for an under on points, rebounds, and assists at 40.5 feels like a savvy move. Castle's recent form shows he's averaging just about 19 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 7.4 assists over his last five games-numbers that don't quite stack up against that hefty line. Even when he's been away, his production dips slightly to 20.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 6.8 assists, which still falls short of that 40.5 mark.Against the Spurs, Castle's history isn't much better-averaging only 15 points and 2.5 rebounds in away matchups. With a solid hit rate of 5/5 in his last five games and a perfect 3/3 away, it's clear that his performance tends to plateau against this opponent. Expecting him to stay below 40.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 65.0% (13/20)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 29.5 Under -127 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under -139 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs Points 14.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
09 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
09 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
06 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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