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The latest Bet Better model pick for Stephon Castle is Under 25.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 51%, edge +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:17PM UTC
NBA

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 25.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+20.9% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
21.8 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.9% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +20.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts71.9%—51.0%1.39+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Spurs and the 76ers, targeting the under on Stephon Castle's combined points and assists at 25.5 makes a lot of sense. While Castle has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent form suggests he's been more of a facilitator lately. Over his last five games, he's averaging 19.6 points and 9 assists, which falls well short of our target. Notably, at home, his numbers dip slightly, averaging 21.4 points and 8.2 assists. Against the 76ers, Castle has averaged just 16.3 points and 8.3 assists in their last five matchups, which includes a modest 17 points at home. He's managed to exceed this mark in only 12 of his last 19 outings overall. With the Spurs' focus likely on ball movement against a solid Philadelphia defense, it's reasonable to expect Castle to stay under that 25.5 threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers MadeSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active 3-Pointers Made prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

StealsSeason marketNo line posted

Stephon Castle has active Steals prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stephon Castle is Under 25.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday 7 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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