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Model picks & player props
Indiana Pacers
VS
Phoenix Suns

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Indiana Pacers 4.5 (Point Spread)
For Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns (NBA), model win probability 67.8%, fair odds 1.48, book price -110, model edge +15.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Indiana Pacers
4.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Indiana PacersPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix SunsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut

Phoenix Suns

  • CJ Huntley FDay-to-day
  • Rasheer Fleming FDay-to-day
  • Koa Peat FDay-to-day
  • Khaman Maluach CDay-to-day
  • Mark Williams CDay-to-day
  • Jordan Goodwin GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:49AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsIndiana Pacers @ Phoenix SunsNo line posted

Phoenix Suns and Indiana Pacers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhoenix Suns spreadNo line posted

Phoenix Suns (season record) meet Indiana Pacers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhoenix Suns to winNo line posted

Phoenix Suns (season record) host or visit Indiana Pacers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Phoenix Suns totalNo line posted

Phoenix Suns averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Phoenix Suns; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Indiana Pacers @ Phoenix Suns — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Under 255.5 Total Points (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 255.5' for the Total Points in the Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers game is a promising option because the historical data suggests a lower scoring game. The average combined score over the last five games for both teams is 238.8 points, considerably below the bet's threshold of 255.5 points. Additionally, when playing at home, the Suns' scoring drops to 111 points, and their opponents' score also decreases to 104.2 points. Although the Pacers have a higher scoring average away (117.8 points), their opponents' average score also rises significantly (125.6 points), suggesting they face strong defensive teams on the road. Overall, the model prediction of 228.52 points further supports the likelihood of the game's total points falling under 255.5.

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Indiana Pacers 4.5 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Indiana Pacers 4.5' in the Point Spread market is justified by several key statistics. Firstly, the Pacers have a higher overall team score than the Suns in the last 5 games (122.2 vs 116.6) and maintain this scoring advantage even when playing away (117.8 vs Suns' 111 at home). This indicates an offensive capability that can overcome the 4.5 point spread. Furthermore, the Suns' defense at home seems less effective, allowing 104.2 points on average, which could be exploited by the Pacers. Despite the Suns having a better recent home record (4-1) and past victories against the Pacers, the higher scoring capacity of the Pacers makes them a viable bet to cover the point spread. Their 2-3 away record also shows they're capable of winning on the road. The model prediction and implied probability further support this betting rationale.

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers : Indiana Pacers win (+152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Despite the Phoenix Suns having a better head-to-head and home record, the Indiana Pacers demonstrate a superior scoring average both overall and on the road in their last five games. These higher scoring averages for Indiana, with 122.2 points overall and 117.8 points away, against Phoenix's 116.6 points overall and 111 points at home, indicate Indiana's potential to outscore Phoenix. While Phoenix's recent form gives them a model edge, Indiana's robust scoring ability offers a promising opportunity for an upset. Betting on the Pacers is therefore a reasonable risk based on their demonstrated offensive strength.

Track record for this matchup

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Total Picks
Hit Rate

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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