Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Green is Under 23.5 on Points + Assists.
On the Points + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:59AM UTC
NBA

Jalen Green

Phoenix Suns

+20.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 23.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
+20.3% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.5%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
18.9 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts76.5%—56.2%1.31+20.3%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 23.5 Points + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns welcome the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Jalen Green. But when it comes to his points and assists combined, betting the under at 23.5 could be the smart play. Despite a solid average of 20 points over his last five games, Green has struggled against the Warriors, putting up just 9.6 points when facing them recently. Even at home, where he's slightly better with 14.6 points against Golden State, he's still shy of that 23.5 threshold.Green's assist numbers haven't been anything to write home about either, averaging only 2.4 assists per game against the Warriors. With his overall contributions consistently falling short of the line, this matchup could stifle his offensive flow. Given his recent stats and the tough defensive scheme the Warriors bring, the under feels not only safe but potentially rewarding.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.5avg · last 10
L51.0Szn2.8Home2.8Away2.8Best8
1+89%
2+66%
3+54%
4+36%
5+21%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 1.5 · hi 8 · lo 0
1100811210

Jalen Green is averaging 1.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.8, best 8). He clears 3+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.8avg · last 10
L52.4Szn3.4Home3.4Away3.4Best13
1+97%
3+61%
5+28%
7+4%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.8 · hi 6 · lo 1
3322651231

Jalen Green is averaging 2.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.4, best 13). He clears 3+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.7avg · last 10
L59.6Szn20.4Home20.6Away20.2Best42
10+82%
15+66%
20+55%
25+37%
30+17%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 10.7 · hi 38 · lo 2
5727389811128

Jalen Green is averaging 10.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.4, best 42). He clears 20+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.5avg · last 10
L512.0Szn23.8Home24.0Away23.5Best48
14+83%
19+65%
24+53%
29+31%
34+17%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 13.5 · hi 44 · lo 4
810494414913159

Jalen Green is averaging 13.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.8, best 48). He clears 24+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.1avg · last 10
L514.8Szn25.1Home25.3Away24.8Best52
15+83%
20+66%
25+55%
30+37%
35+20%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 15.1 · hi 42 · lo 4
511415421511191712

Jalen Green is averaging 15.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.1, best 52). He clears 25+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.9avg · last 10
L517.2Szn28.5Home28.8Away28.2Best55
18+82%
23+69%
28+57%
33+37%
38+20%
Game log vs O 27.5avg 17.9 · hi 48 · lo 6
814617482012212013

Jalen Green is averaging 17.9 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 28.5, best 55). He clears 28+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.4avg · last 10
L55.2Szn4.7Home4.7Away4.6Best14
1+98%
3+80%
5+46%
7+25%
9+7%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.4 · hi 8 · lo 0
0428463854

Jalen Green is averaging 4.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.7, best 14). He clears 5+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
7.2avg · last 10
L57.6Szn8.1Home8.1Away8.0Best24
2+99%
5+85%
8+54%
11+20%
14+8%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 7.2 · hi 11 · lo 3
37410101141085

Jalen Green is averaging 7.2 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.1, best 24). He clears 8+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 23.5 Under -128 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points 23.5 Under -263 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 26.5 Under -204 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Green is Under 23.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.