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The latest Bet Better model pick for Pascal Siakam is Over 24.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +15.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:30PM UTC
NBA

Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 24.5 -189 (1.53)
+15.7% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC · Indoor
Fri 3 Apr, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Siakam (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's meeting with the Pistons.
updated Jun 16, 2:41PM UTC · 34d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.0%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value
30.6 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs81.0%—65.4%1.23+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pascal Siakam is primed for a standout performance against the Charlotte Hornets, and targeting him for over 24.5 points and rebounds is a savvy move. He's been on fire lately, averaging 24.6 points and 7 rebounds over his last five games, and even better when he hits the road, where his numbers climb to 24.8 points and 4.6 rebounds. Historically, Siakam thrives against the Pacers, putting up an impressive 25 points and 7.2 rebounds in their recent matchups. With a hit rate of 8 out of 10 in his last ten games, and particularly strong away performance-5 out of 6 hitting the mark-he's in a great position to surpass that 24.5 threshold. Factor in his expected stat value of 30.58, and it's clear: Siakam is ready to excel in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
3.1avg · last 10
L53.8Szn3.3Home3.3Away3.2Best13
1+96%
3+62%
5+24%
7+3%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.1 · hi 5 · lo 1
2324144335

Pascal Siakam is averaging 3.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.3, best 13). He clears 3+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks + Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.2avg · last 10
L50.8Szn1.4Home1.1Away1.7Best8
1+69%
2+46%
3+16%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
2321010012

Pascal Siakam is averaging 1.2 blocks + steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.4, best 8). He clears 1+ in 69% of 2024-25 games.

Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
13%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1010%Home13%Away14%
Game log · double-double1 / 10 DD

Pascal Siakam posted a double-double in 13% of 2024-25 games (1 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
18.8avg · last 10
L517.8Szn19.7Home18.7Away20.7Best52
10+96%
15+77%
20+52%
25+24%
30+4%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 18.8 · hi 28 · lo 10
25242812101712182121

Pascal Siakam is averaging 18.8 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.7, best 52). He clears 20+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
25.0avg · last 10
L524.2Szn26.4Home25.2Away27.7Best61
16+91%
21+77%
26+56%
31+28%
36+9%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 25 · hi 35 · lo 14
32353315142518222729

Pascal Siakam is averaging 25.0 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 26.4, best 61). He clears 26+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.2avg · last 10
L56.4Szn6.7Home6.4Away7.0Best19
3+92%
5+80%
7+49%
9+26%
11+10%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 6.2 · hi 11 · lo 3
71153486468

Pascal Siakam is averaging 6.2 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.7, best 19). He clears 7+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.3avg · last 10
L510.2Szn10.0Home9.8Away10.2Best26
4+98%
7+88%
10+58%
13+24%
16+4%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 9.3 · hi 14 · lo 5
91477512107913

Pascal Siakam is averaging 9.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.0, best 26). He clears 10+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
0.9avg · last 10
L50.6Szn0.9Home0.7Away1.1Best5
1+57%
2+26%
3+7%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.9 · hi 3 · lo 0
1320010011

Pascal Siakam is averaging 0.9 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 5). He clears 1+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Turnovers2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.2avg · last 10
L51.2Szn1.4Home1.3Away1.4Best7
1+78%
2+41%
3+14%
Game log vs U 0.5avg 1.2 · hi 2 · lo 0
1201222110

Pascal Siakam is averaging 1.2 turnovers over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.4, best 7). He clears 1+ in 78% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 24.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 24.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 26.5 Over -139 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Steals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pascal Siakam is Over 24.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets on Friday 3 April at Spectrum Center, Charlotte. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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