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The latest Bet Better model pick for Pascal Siakam is Over 24.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 65%, edge +15.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:32PM UTC
NBA

Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 24.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
+15.7% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC · Indoor
Fri 3 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
30.6 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.0% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap +15.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs81.0%—65.4%1.23+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pascal Siakam is primed for a standout performance against the Charlotte Hornets, and targeting him for over 24.5 points and rebounds is a savvy move. He's been on fire lately, averaging 24.6 points and 7 rebounds over his last five games, and even better when he hits the road, where his numbers climb to 24.8 points and 4.6 rebounds. Historically, Siakam thrives against the Pacers, putting up an impressive 25 points and 7.2 rebounds in their recent matchups. With a hit rate of 8 out of 10 in his last ten games, and particularly strong away performance-5 out of 6 hitting the mark-he's in a great position to surpass that 24.5 threshold. Factor in his expected stat value of 30.58, and it's clear: Siakam is ready to excel in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Pascal Siakam — 2024-25 season averages

Over 90 games in the 2024-25 season, Pascal Siakam averaged 19.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists in 32.0 minutes per game, shooting 52.2% from the field and 39.4% from three-point range.

19.7
PPG
6.7
RPG
3.3
APG
0.9
SPG
0.5
BPG
32.0
MPG
52.2%
FG%
39.4%
3P%

Pascal Siakam — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Pascal Siakam has played 30.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.6
MPG (L5)
17.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Pascal Siakam — points hit rate

Pascal Siakam has scored over 15.5 points in 46% of 457 career games.

o11.559%
o12.556%
o15.546%
o20.529%
o25.514%

Pascal Siakam — home vs away scoring

At home Pascal Siakam averages 18.7 points per game; on the road, 20.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.7
PPG at home
20.7
PPG on the road

Pascal Siakam — scoring by opponent

Pascal Siakam scores most against the ATL, averaging 24.6 points per game in that matchup.

24.6
ATL
24.3
DET
23.4
HOU
23.3
LAC
23.2
PHX
22.7
POR

Pascal Siakam — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Pascal Siakam has averaged 18.8 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE402185
11 Mayvs CLE212163
9 Mayvs CLE281843
6 May@ CLE301264
4 May@ CLE341784
29 Aprvs MIL411041
27 Apr@ MIL291234
25 Apr@ MIL312852
22 Aprvs MIL3424113
19 Aprvs MIL332572
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Dec 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Assists 3.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Steals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pascal Siakam is Over 24.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets on Friday 3 April at Spectrum Center, Charlotte. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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