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NBA

Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers

+6.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Steals Over 0.5 -208 (1.48)
+6.5% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Sun 22 Feb, 10:00PM
Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+6.5%
Predicted Value
1.1 Steals

AI Analysis

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Pascal Siakam (Toronto Raptors) Over 0.5 Steals (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Pascal Siakam to record over 0.5 steals in the game between the Indiana Pacers and the Dallas Mavericks is backed by several compelling statistics. Siakam's performance over his last 5 games indicates he's in good form defensively, averaging 2.2 steals overall and 1.8 steals at home. This average is well above the bet's threshold of 0.5. Additionally, Siakam's recent performance against the Mavericks supports this bet, as he averaged 0.6 steals against them and this figure rises to 1.5 when playing at home. Finally, Siakam's hit rate for this outcome in the last 5 games, both overall and at home, is 80% (4 out of 5 games), suggesting a high likelihood of repeating this outcome. These figures provide a solid statistical foundation for predicting Siakam will record over 0.5 steals in this match.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (15 picks) 53.3% (8/15)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Feb 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Steals 0.5 Over -208 ✗ MISS
14 Dec 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Assists 3.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -1667 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Turnovers Pending
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Blks + Stls Pending
22 Jun 25 Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Blks + Stls Pending

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