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NBA

Tyler Herro

Miami Heat

+37.9% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 14.5 -120 (1.83)
+37.9% Edge
Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Thu 9 Apr, 11:00PM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.6%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+37.9%
Predicted Value
22.9 Points

AI Analysis

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Tyler Herro (Miami Heat) Over 14.5 Points (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Miami Heat head to Toronto, all eyes should be on Tyler Herro. The young shooting guard has been nothing short of spectacular lately, averaging just over 21 points in his last five games. When it comes to facing off against the Raptors, Herro's numbers soar even higher, with an impressive 24.4 points per game average against them recently, and a staggering 25.2 points when playing in away games. His current form is hard to ignore; he's hit the over on 14.5 points in three straight contests and has a jaw-dropping hit rate of 18 out of his last 20 away games. With an expected stat value of nearly 23 points, it feels like a no-brainer to back Herro to clear this line. Given the stakes and his recent performances, he's primed for a big night in Toronto.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Points 14.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Assists 5.5 Under +110 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 23.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers — — — Pending
17 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Asts — — — Pending
17 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Herro (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). Tyler Herro is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Tyler Herro is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +37.9% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors on Thursday 9 April at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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