Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
NBA

Tyler Herro

Miami Heat

Value call

Tyler Herro (Miami Heat) has one live pick today: under 24.5 pts asts that pays $225 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
22.1 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.4% · before adjusting for past results 65.2% · the book's price implies 44.4% · gap +20.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Tyler Herro
under 24.5 pts asts
Pts + Asts Under 24.5 +125 (2.25) · $100→$225
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.50 Odds+125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Herro is Under 24.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 44%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 21, 11:33PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts65.2%65.4%44.4%1.53+20.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks: Tyler Herro Under 24.5 Pts + Asts (+125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyler Herro has been playing at home, but his numbers show he averages fewer assists there compared to when he's away. The Wizards have struggled to keep opponents from grabbing rebounds, but overall, their defense isn't forcing many turnovers. This means Herro might not get as many extra chances to score or assist, especially against the Bucks, who are also tough on defense. While the matchup isn't a walk in the park, Herro's stats suggest he might fall short of 24.5 combined points and assists. The real concern is that both teams are close in how they defend, which can make it tricky to predict individual performance. Keep an eye on how the game flows; it could affect Herro's chances to rack up those points and assists.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Tyler Herro's lines for Wed 21 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pts + Asts 24.5

Tyler Herro's pts + asts line is 24.5.

Points 24.5

Tyler Herro's points line is 24.5.

Points 18.5

Tyler Herro's points line is 18.5.

Tyler Herro — 2024-25 season averages

Over 84 games in the 2024-25 season, Tyler Herro averaged 23.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists in 35.2 minutes per game, shooting 47.3% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

23.6
PPG
5.1
RPG
5.3
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
35.2
MPG
47.3%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Tyler Herro — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tyler Herro has played 37.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

37.8
MPG (L5)
20.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tyler Herro — points hit rate

Tyler Herro has scored over 15.5 points in 52% of 206 career games.

o11.572%
o12.567%
o15.552%
o20.530%
o25.515%

Tyler Herro — home vs away scoring

At home Tyler Herro averages 22.5 points per game; on the road, 24.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

22.5
PPG at home
24.6
PPG on the road

Tyler Herro — scoring by opponent

Tyler Herro scores most against the DET, averaging 25.3 points per game in that matchup.

25.3
DET
23.3
HOU
21.7
SAC
21.6
LAC
21.5
CHA
20.5
NY

Tyler Herro — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tyler Herro has averaged 24.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE31411
26 Aprvs CLE371343
23 Apr@ CLE403365
20 Apr@ CLE372132
18 Apr@ ATL443087
16 Apr@ CHI373854
11 Apr@ NO222244
9 Apr@ CHI363044
7 Aprvs PHI332052
3 Aprvs MEM373594
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Points 14.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Assists 5.5 Under +110 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers 3.5 Under +172 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
17 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Asts — — — Pending
17 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Tyler Herro (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Herro is Under 24.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards on Wednesday 21 October at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.