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Tyler Herro

Milwaukee Bucks

Value call

Tyler Herro (Milwaukee Bucks) has one live pick today: under 20.5 points that pays $270 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
19.4 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.0% · before adjusting for past results 59.9% · the book's price implies 37.0% · gap +13.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Tyler Herro
under 20.5 points
Points Under 20.5 +170 (2.70) · $100→$270
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$27.00 Odds+170
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Herro is Under 20.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 37%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$4,002 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points59.9%51.0%37.0%1.96+22.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers: Tyler Herro Under 20.5 Points (+170)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyler Herro faces a tough matchup against the Indiana Pacers, who allow a lot of three-pointers and rebounds, making it hard for any player to shine. With the Pacers giving up nearly 45 rebounds per game, it means they often let other teams control the game, making it tricky for Herro to score. This bet is for him to score under 20.5 points, and it's rated close to a coin flip. A concrete risk is that Herro could have a hot shooting night, which happens in basketball. But with Indiana's style of play, I think he may struggle to get those points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tyler Herro — 2024-25 season averages

Over 84 games in the 2024-25 season, Tyler Herro averaged 23.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists in 35.2 minutes per game, shooting 47.3% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

23.6
PPG
5.1
RPG
5.3
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
35.2
MPG
47.3%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Tyler Herro — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tyler Herro has played 37.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

37.8
MPG (L5)
20.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tyler Herro — points hit rate

Tyler Herro has scored over 15.5 points in 52% of 206 career games.

o11.572%
o12.567%
o15.552%
o20.530%
o25.515%

Tyler Herro — home vs away scoring

At home Tyler Herro averages 22.5 points per game; on the road, 24.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

22.5
PPG at home
24.6
PPG on the road

Tyler Herro — scoring by opponent

Tyler Herro scores most against the DET, averaging 25.3 points per game in that matchup.

25.3
DET
23.3
HOU
21.7
SAC
21.6
LAC
21.5
CHA
20.5
NY

Tyler Herro — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tyler Herro has averaged 24.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE31411
26 Aprvs CLE371343
23 Apr@ CLE403365
20 Apr@ CLE372132
18 Apr@ ATL443087
16 Apr@ CHI373854
11 Apr@ NO222244
9 Apr@ CHI363044
7 Aprvs PHI332052
3 Aprvs MEM373594
Quick answers:How many assists does Tyler Herro average?How many points does Tyler Herro average?How many rebounds does Tyler Herro average?How many three-pointers does Tyler Herro average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points 23.5 Under -119 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards Points 24.5 Under -179 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors Points 14.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Herro (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Herro is Under 20.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.9% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks on Monday 26 October at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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