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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Joe is Under 3.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Isaiah Joe

Oklahoma City Thunder

+15.6% Edge
🔥 9 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 3.5 -172 (1.58)
+15.6% Edge
Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Fri 13 Mar, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
78.9%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+15.6%
Predicted Value
1.5 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds78.9%63.3%1.27+15.6%

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AI Analysis

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Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 3.5 Rebounds (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Boston Celtics, betting on Isaiah Joe to record under 3.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Joe has been a role player this season, averaging just 0.6 rebounds over his last five games. Even at home, where he typically pulls down 2.2 boards, he's struggled to hit that mark consistently. Against the Celtics, his average at home dips to 3, suggesting he's just shy of our target.What's more compelling is Joe's track record; he hasn't exceeded this number in his last nine games, with a perfect 9-for-9 on the under. Facing a Celtics team that excels at controlling the boards, Joe's limited minutes and the depth of the Thunder's roster mean he'll likely remain under the radar. With an implied probability of 63.3% backing this bet, it's tough to overlook the logic here-bet the under.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.1avg · last 10
L51.0Szn1.5Home1.6Away1.5Best9
2+43%
4+6%
6+2%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.1 · hi 2 · lo 0
1121122010

Isaiah Joe is averaging 1.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.5, best 9). He clears 2+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.8avg · last 10
L51.0Szn2.5Home2.4Away2.7Best8
1+92%
3+43%
5+14%
7+1%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 1.8 · hi 6 · lo 1
6141111111

Isaiah Joe is averaging 1.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 8). He clears 3+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.9avg · last 10
L52.0Szn4.1Home4.0Away4.1Best14
1+98%
4+50%
7+14%
10+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 2.9 · hi 7 · lo 1
7262233121

Isaiah Joe is averaging 2.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.1, best 14). He clears 4+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 4.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
26 Feb 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons Rebounds 3.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Assists 2.5 Under -208 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Isaiah Joe is currently on a 9-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Isaiah Joe is Under 3.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday 13 March at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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