Peyton Watson (Denver Nuggets) Over 9.5 Points (-192)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingWhen you look at Peyton Watson's recent performances, it's hard not to get excited about the Over on his points total against the Dallas Mavericks. At home, he's been a scoring machine, averaging 19.2 points over his last five games, and he's hit double digits in each of his last ten games on his own court. The Mavericks are particularly vulnerable, with Watson averaging 11.8 points against them at home-numbers that suggest he's more than capable of not just reaching but exceeding that 9.5 mark. With an overall hit rate of 20 for 20 in his last games, you can feel confident that he'll rise to the occasion again. Given the stakes and his current form, it's clear that betting on Peyton Watson to go Over 9.5 points is not just a smart move, but a necessary one for this matchup.