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Donovan Mitchell

Cleveland Cavaliers

+21.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 24.5 -120 (1.83)
+21.1% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies
FedExForum, Memphis
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
75.7%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+21.1%
Predicted Value
28.5 Points

AI Analysis

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Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 24.5 Points (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cavaliers take the court against the Grizzlies, all eyes should be on Donovan Mitchell. Sure, the man's averaging 22.6 points over his last five games, but let's not overlook his knack for rising to the occasion against Memphis. In fact, he's putting up a solid 24.6 points per game against them recently, and on the road, that number jumps to an impressive 28. It's not just a fluke - Mitchell has hit the over on 24.5 points in 6 of his last 8 outings, and 3 of his last 4 away games. With an expected stat value of 28.54, it seems that he's primed for a big night. The Cavaliers will certainly look to him to carry the scoring load, especially in a tough away environment. Taking the over feels like a smart play here; Mitchell's poised to light up the scoreboard in Memphis.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (17 picks) 82.4% (14/17)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 6.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebs + Asts 14.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 10.5 Under -139 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
13 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
13 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 17 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 82.4% (14/17). The latest model pick for Donovan Mitchell is Over 24.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday 7 April at FedExForum, Memphis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.