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Donovan Mitchell

Cleveland Cavaliers

Value call

Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) has one live pick today: over 24.5 points that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
28.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.3% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +23.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 7:00 PM ET
Donovan Mitchell
over 24.5 points
Points Over 24.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Donovan Mitchell is Over 24.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$4,002 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Mitchell (knee) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Mavericks.
updated Nov 14, 10:56PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points76.3%—53.2%1.31+23.1%

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AI Analysis

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Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 24.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cavaliers host the Hawks, all eyes should be on Donovan Mitchell. The star guard thrives in front of the home crowd, averaging a remarkable 28 points over his last five games at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. His ability to light it up against Atlanta is evident, too; Mitchell has consistently dropped around 30.6 points per game against them at home. With his recent form showing six out of eight games exceeding the 24.5 mark, there's every reason to believe he'll rise to the occasion. The Hawks' defense has struggled to contain high-scoring guards, and Mitchell's expected stat value of 28.66 speaks volumes about his potential. Given that he's not only cleared this line recently but has also done so with remarkable frequency, betting the over feels like a savvy play. Expect him to put on a show and keep the Cavaliers in the hunt for a crucial win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Donovan Mitchell — 2024-25 season averages

Over 82 games in the 2024-25 season, Donovan Mitchell averaged 24.0 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists in 30.9 minutes per game, shooting 44.1% from the field and 36.2% from three-point range.

24.0
PPG
4.5
RPG
4.8
APG
1.4
SPG
0.3
BPG
30.9
MPG
44.1%
FG%
36.2%
3P%

Donovan Mitchell — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Donovan Mitchell has played 33.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.0
MPG (L5)
34.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Donovan Mitchell — points hit rate

Donovan Mitchell has scored over 25.5 points in 41% of 385 career games.

o11.592%
o12.590%
o15.583%
o20.566%
o25.541%
o30.520%

Donovan Mitchell — home vs away scoring

At home Donovan Mitchell averages 23.7 points per game; on the road, 24.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

23.7
PPG at home
24.4
PPG on the road

Donovan Mitchell — scoring by opponent

Donovan Mitchell scores most against the BOS, averaging 32.0 points per game in that matchup.

32.0
BOS
30.6
CHI
29.7
IND
28.8
LAC
28.4
WSH
27.7
DET

Donovan Mitchell — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Donovan Mitchell has averaged 28.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs IND383591
11 May@ IND201210
9 May@ IND374395
6 Mayvs IND364859
4 Mayvs IND343354
28 Apr@ MIA252205
26 Apr@ MIA301321
23 Aprvs MIA363066
20 Aprvs MIA333054
6 Aprvs SAC331966
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 24.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 19.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 20.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Donovan Mitchell is Over 24.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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