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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dennis Schroder is Over 2.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +22.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Dennis Schroder

Cleveland Cavaliers

+22.0% Edge
🔥 10 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 2.5 -233 (1.43)
+22.0% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 5:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.9%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+22.0%
Predicted Value
10.6 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points91.9%69.9%1.09+22.0%

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AI Analysis

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Dennis Schroder (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 2.5 Points (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Cleveland Cavaliers take on the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Dennis Schroder for the over on 2.5 points. It's hard to ignore his recent surge, where he's been a scoring machine, averaging 10.4 points in his last five games. At home, that number jumps to an impressive 5.8 points, and against the Raptors specifically, he's been even more prolific, putting up 16.8 points in their last home matchup. Schroder has hit this over in every game for the last 10 outings, a perfect 10-for-10, and has maintained an unblemished 7-for-7 mark at home. With a solid 69.9% implied probability and an expected stat value of 10.61, it seems like a foregone conclusion that he'll surpass this low point total. In a high-stakes game, look for Schroder to capitalize and deliver yet again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.5avg · last 10
L51.8Szn1.7Home1.7Away1.6Best8
1+80%
2+44%
3+23%
4+14%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.5 · hi 4 · lo 0
2102134011

Dennis Schroder is averaging 1.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 8). He clears 2+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.7avg · last 10
L53.8Szn5.3Home5.3Away5.2Best14
1+100%
3+89%
5+52%
7+32%
9+11%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 3.7 · hi 9 · lo 1
4218332239

Dennis Schroder is averaging 3.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.3, best 14). He clears 5+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.0avg · last 10
L513.4Szn13.0Home12.4Away13.8Best38
3+100%
8+79%
13+41%
18+20%
23+9%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 11 · hi 20 · lo 5
105812820186149

Dennis Schroder is averaging 11.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.0, best 38). He clears 13+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.7avg · last 10
L517.2Szn18.3Home17.7Away19.0Best45
8+96%
13+70%
18+43%
23+28%
28+10%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 14.7 · hi 23 · lo 7
14792011232081718

Dennis Schroder is averaging 14.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.3, best 45). He clears 18+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.4avg · last 10
L516.2Szn15.6Home15.2Away16.1Best46
6+96%
11+73%
16+42%
21+21%
26+10%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 13.4 · hi 23 · lo 8
12810158222391413

Dennis Schroder is averaging 13.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.6, best 46). He clears 16+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.1avg · last 10
L520.0Szn20.9Home20.5Away21.3Best49
11+93%
16+68%
21+43%
26+28%
31+14%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 17.1 · hi 25 · lo 10
16101123112525111722

Dennis Schroder is averaging 17.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.9, best 49). He clears 21+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.4avg · last 10
L52.8Szn2.6Home2.9Away2.3Best12
1+89%
3+49%
5+12%
7+2%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.4 · hi 5 · lo 0
2323025304

Dennis Schroder is averaging 2.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.6, best 12). He clears 3+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.1avg · last 10
L56.6Szn7.9Home8.2Away7.6Best20
2+99%
5+83%
8+43%
11+26%
14+9%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 6.1 · hi 13 · lo 3
653113575313

Dennis Schroder is averaging 6.1 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.9, best 20). He clears 8+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 2.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 5.5 Over +110 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 6.5 Over +106 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Assists Pending
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies 3-Pointers Pending
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Dennis Schroder (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Dennis Schroder is currently on a 10-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Dennis Schroder is Over 2.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday 18 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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