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NBA

Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers

+20.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 17.5 +122 (2.22)
+20.1% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
65.1%
Implied Probability
45.0%
Model Edge
+20.1%
Predicted Value
15.2 Points

AI Analysis

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Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 17.5 Points (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Jarrett Allen's recent performance, it's clear he's not trending towards a high-scoring night against the Atlanta Hawks. Averaging just 14.6 points over his last five games, he's consistently fallen short of the 17.5 mark. At home, while he's slightly better at 16.2, the matchup against Atlanta has historically not favored him, with an average of just 14 points per game against them at home.What's even more telling is his overall hit rate; he's gone under 17.5 in two of his last three games, and against the Hawks, he's only managed 11.6 points recently. The Cavaliers may lean on their perimeter players more, especially with how Atlanta defends the paint. With an expected stat value of 15.25, it seems like a wise move to take the Under on Allen's points tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 50.0% (4/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 17.5 Under +122 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 10.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Blks + Stls — — — Pending
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Blocks — — — Pending
14 Dec 25 Charlotte Hornets @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (4/8). The latest model pick for Jarrett Allen is Under 17.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.