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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrett Allen is Over 21.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 55%, edge +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:12PM UTC
NBA

Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers

+15.6% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 21.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+15.6% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
25.2 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.2% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +15.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs70.2%54.6%1.42+15.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Jarrett Allen is primed to make a splash in Wednesday's matchup against the Atlanta Hawks, and there's a compelling case for the Over on his combined points and rebounds at 21.5. Allen has been a force at home, averaging 16.2 points and 8.4 rebounds over his last five games in Cleveland. Notably, he's dominated the Hawks, with averages of 14 points and a whopping 11.6 rebounds per game at home against them.With his recent form, hitting this mark feels almost inevitable. He's achieved the Over in all four of his last games and boasts an impressive 5-for-6 hit rate in his past home appearances. The Cavaliers will lean on him, especially as they look to secure a crucial win. Given his expected stat value of 25.17, this is a bet worth backing as Allen aims to assert his presence on the court.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jarrett Allen — 2024-25 season averages

Over 91 games in the 2024-25 season, Jarrett Allen averaged 13.5 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 28.1 minutes per game, shooting 70.8% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

13.5
PPG
9.6
RPG
1.9
APG
1.0
SPG
0.9
BPG
28.1
MPG
70.8%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Jarrett Allen — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jarrett Allen has played 29.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.8
MPG (L5)
12.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jarrett Allen — points hit rate

Jarrett Allen has scored over 11.5 points in 48% of 371 career games.

o11.548%
o12.540%
o15.522%

Jarrett Allen — home vs away scoring

At home Jarrett Allen averages 14.2 points per game; on the road, 12.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

14.2
PPG at home
12.7
PPG on the road

Jarrett Allen — scoring by opponent

Jarrett Allen scores most against the SA, averaging 17.1 points per game in that matchup.

17.1
SA
16.2
MIN
16.1
DEN
16.0
WSH
15.8
OKC
15.4
CHA

Jarrett Allen — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jarrett Allen has averaged 12.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs IND30940
11 May@ IND20221
9 May@ IND3119122
6 Mayvs IND3822123
4 Mayvs IND301251
28 Apr@ MIA2514122
26 Apr@ MIA2622101
23 Aprvs MIA31981
20 Aprvs MIA3012111
13 Aprvs IND1001
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Blks + Stls 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Blocks 0.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts Pending
29 Nov 25 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Rebs + Asts Pending
29 Nov 25 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Assists Pending

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About This Player

Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jarrett Allen is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jarrett Allen is Over 21.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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