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Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers

Value call

Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) has one live pick today: under 17.5 points that pays $222 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
15.2 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.1% · the book's price implies 45.0% · gap +20.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 7:00 PM ET
Jarrett Allen
under 17.5 points
Points Under 17.5 +122 (2.22) · $100→$222
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.20 Odds+122
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrett Allen is Under 17.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:51AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points65.1%—45.0%1.54+20.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 17.5 Points (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Jarrett Allen's recent performance, it's clear he's not trending towards a high-scoring night against the Atlanta Hawks. Averaging just 14.6 points over his last five games, he's consistently fallen short of the 17.5 mark. At home, while he's slightly better at 16.2, the matchup against Atlanta has historically not favored him, with an average of just 14 points per game against them at home.What's even more telling is his overall hit rate; he's gone under 17.5 in two of his last three games, and against the Hawks, he's only managed 11.6 points recently. The Cavaliers may lean on their perimeter players more, especially with how Atlanta defends the paint. With an expected stat value of 15.25, it seems like a wise move to take the Under on Allen's points tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Jarrett Allen — 2024-25 season averages

Over 91 games in the 2024-25 season, Jarrett Allen averaged 13.5 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 28.1 minutes per game, shooting 70.8% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

13.5
PPG
9.6
RPG
1.9
APG
1.0
SPG
0.9
BPG
28.1
MPG
70.8%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Jarrett Allen — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jarrett Allen has played 29.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.8
MPG (L5)
12.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jarrett Allen — points hit rate

Jarrett Allen has scored over 11.5 points in 48% of 371 career games.

o11.548%
o12.540%
o15.522%

Jarrett Allen — home vs away scoring

At home Jarrett Allen averages 14.2 points per game; on the road, 12.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

14.2
PPG at home
12.7
PPG on the road

Jarrett Allen — scoring by opponent

Jarrett Allen scores most against the SA, averaging 17.1 points per game in that matchup.

17.1
SA
16.2
MIN
16.1
DEN
16.0
WSH
15.8
OKC
15.4
CHA

Jarrett Allen — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jarrett Allen has averaged 12.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs IND30940
11 May@ IND20221
9 May@ IND3119122
6 Mayvs IND3822123
4 Mayvs IND301251
28 Apr@ MIA2514122
26 Apr@ MIA2622101
23 Aprvs MIA31981
20 Aprvs MIA3012111
13 Aprvs IND1001
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 17.5 Under +122 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
03 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 10.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Blks + Stls — — — Pending
25 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Blocks — — — Pending
28 Nov 25 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarrett Allen is Under 17.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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