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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrett Allen is Over 21.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:58AM UTC
NBA

Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers

+15.6% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 21.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+15.6% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.2%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+15.6%
Predicted Value
25.2 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs70.2%—54.6%1.42+15.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Jarrett Allen is primed to make a splash in Wednesday's matchup against the Atlanta Hawks, and there's a compelling case for the Over on his combined points and rebounds at 21.5. Allen has been a force at home, averaging 16.2 points and 8.4 rebounds over his last five games in Cleveland. Notably, he's dominated the Hawks, with averages of 14 points and a whopping 11.6 rebounds per game at home against them.With his recent form, hitting this mark feels almost inevitable. He's achieved the Over in all four of his last games and boasts an impressive 5-for-6 hit rate in his past home appearances. The Cavaliers will lean on him, especially as they look to secure a crucial win. Given his expected stat value of 25.17, this is a bet worth backing as Allen aims to assert his presence on the court.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.3avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.9Home2.0Away1.8Best8
2+52%
4+13%
6+4%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
1111213210

Jarrett Allen is averaging 1.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 8). He clears 2+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks + Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.1avg · last 10
L51.8Szn1.9Home1.8Away2.0Best7
1+87%
2+56%
3+23%
4+13%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.1 · hi 6 · lo 0
0420623211

Jarrett Allen is averaging 2.1 blocks + steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 7). He clears 2+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
0.8avg · last 10
L51.2Szn0.9Home0.9Away0.9Best6
1+60%
2+22%
3+5%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
0110003210

Jarrett Allen is averaging 0.8 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 6). He clears 1+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.1avg · last 10
L512.8Szn13.5Home14.2Away12.7Best33
3+97%
8+86%
13+51%
18+23%
23+10%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 12.1 · hi 22 · lo 0
0129221412221929

Jarrett Allen is averaging 12.1 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.5, best 33). He clears 13+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
19.7avg · last 10
L519.8Szn23.1Home24.3Away21.8Best51
13+90%
18+73%
23+52%
28+30%
33+15%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 19.7 · hi 34 · lo 0
023173226173431413

Jarrett Allen is averaging 19.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.1, best 51). He clears 23+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
7.6avg · last 10
L57.0Szn9.6Home10.0Away9.2Best24
6+81%
8+70%
10+57%
12+31%
14+14%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 7.6 · hi 12 · lo 0
011810125121224

Jarrett Allen is averaging 7.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.6, best 24). He clears 10+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.9avg · last 10
L58.4Szn11.5Home12.0Away10.9Best29
5+92%
8+80%
11+59%
14+34%
17+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 8.9 · hi 15 · lo 1
112911146151434

Jarrett Allen is averaging 8.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.5, best 29). He clears 11+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 10.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Blks + Stls 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Blocks 0.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
29 Nov 25 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jarrett Allen is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jarrett Allen is Over 21.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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