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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrett Allen is Under 17.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 45%, for a model edge of +20.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Jarrett Allen

Cleveland Cavaliers

+20.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 17.5 +122 (2.22)
+20.1% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
65.1%
Implied Probability
45.0%
Model Edge
+20.1%
Predicted Value
15.2 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points65.1%—45.0%1.54+20.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 17.5 Points (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Jarrett Allen's recent performance, it's clear he's not trending towards a high-scoring night against the Atlanta Hawks. Averaging just 14.6 points over his last five games, he's consistently fallen short of the 17.5 mark. At home, while he's slightly better at 16.2, the matchup against Atlanta has historically not favored him, with an average of just 14 points per game against them at home.What's even more telling is his overall hit rate; he's gone under 17.5 in two of his last three games, and against the Hawks, he's only managed 11.6 points recently. The Cavaliers may lean on their perimeter players more, especially with how Atlanta defends the paint. With an expected stat value of 15.25, it seems like a wise move to take the Under on Allen's points tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.3avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.9Home2.0Away1.8Best8
2+52%
4+13%
6+4%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
1111213210

Jarrett Allen is averaging 1.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 8). He clears 2+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks + Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.1avg · last 10
L51.8Szn1.9Home1.8Away2.0Best7
1+87%
2+56%
3+23%
4+13%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.1 · hi 6 · lo 0
0420623211

Jarrett Allen is averaging 2.1 blocks + steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 7). He clears 2+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
0.8avg · last 10
L51.2Szn0.9Home0.9Away0.9Best6
1+60%
2+22%
3+5%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
0110003210

Jarrett Allen is averaging 0.8 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 6). He clears 1+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.1avg · last 10
L512.8Szn13.5Home14.2Away12.7Best33
3+97%
8+86%
13+51%
18+23%
23+10%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 12.1 · hi 22 · lo 0
0129221412221929

Jarrett Allen is averaging 12.1 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.5, best 33). He clears 13+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
19.7avg · last 10
L519.8Szn23.1Home24.3Away21.8Best51
13+90%
18+73%
23+52%
28+30%
33+15%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 19.7 · hi 34 · lo 0
023173226173431413

Jarrett Allen is averaging 19.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.1, best 51). He clears 23+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
7.6avg · last 10
L57.0Szn9.6Home10.0Away9.2Best24
6+81%
8+70%
10+57%
12+31%
14+14%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 7.6 · hi 12 · lo 0
011810125121224

Jarrett Allen is averaging 7.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.6, best 24). He clears 10+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.9avg · last 10
L58.4Szn11.5Home12.0Away10.9Best29
5+92%
8+80%
11+59%
14+34%
17+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 8.9 · hi 15 · lo 1
112911146151434

Jarrett Allen is averaging 8.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.5, best 29). He clears 11+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 17.5 Under +122 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts 10.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Blks + Stls — — — Pending
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Blocks — — — Pending
29 Nov 25 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarrett Allen (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarrett Allen is Under 17.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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