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Model picks & player props
Charlotte Hornets
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 (Point Spread)
For Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 85.3%, fair odds 1.17, book price -112, model edge +32.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
New Orleans Pelicans
-2.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans PelicansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Charlotte Hornets

  • Brandon Miller FDay-to-day
  • PJ Hall CDay-to-day

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsCharlotte Hornets @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Charlotte Hornets combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Charlotte Hornets; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Charlotte Hornets; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Charlotte Hornets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Charlotte Hornets totalNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Charlotte Hornets @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Deep dive into New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets : Charlotte Hornets Under 127.5 Team Total Points (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Charlotte Hornets Under 127.5' is a strong choice, primarily due to the Hornets' recent offensive performance. Over their last five games, the Hornets have averaged a modest 102.8 points, which is significantly lower than the 127.5 set for this bet. Even when focusing on their away games, where they seem to perform better, their average score is 113.8, still well under the 127.5 mark. Additionally, their overall away record shows more losses than wins (1-4), suggesting a struggling offense. The model prediction also supports this bet, forecasting the Hornets to score only 98.28 points. Thus, based on the Hornets' recent scoring trends and the model prediction, the 'Under 127.5' bet appears to be a statistically sound choice.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets : New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The New Orleans Pelicans have a strong home record, winning 4 out of their last 5 games. In contrast, the Charlotte Hornets have struggled on the road, with only one win in their last five games. The Pelicans have also shown a higher scoring average in recent home games (118.2 points) compared to the Hornets' average on the road (113.8 points). Furthermore, the Pelicans have consistently outperformed the Hornets in their recent head-to-head matches, winning the last two encounters. This data suggests that the Pelicans are likely to not only win, but also cover the -2.5 point spread.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets : New Orleans Pelicans win (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The New Orleans Pelicans are favored to win against the Charlotte Hornets, primarily due to their superior recent performance, particularly at home. The Pelicans have a positive home record of 4-1 in their last 5 games, outscoring the Hornets with an average of 118.2 points at home compared to the Hornets' 113.8 points away. Moreover, the Pelicans have won 3 out of their last 5 games overall, compared to the Hornets' 1-4 record. The Pelicans also hold a strong advantage in recent head-to-head matchups, having won the last two games against the Hornets. These statistical trends demonstrate the Pelicans' strong performance, particularly at home, making them a solid choice for the Moneyline market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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