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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Miller is Under 30.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts.
On the Pts + Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Brandon Miller

Charlotte Hornets

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 30.5 -147 (1.68)
+20.9% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 11:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Miller (shoulder) appears poised to become Charlotte's primary offensive focal point following Lamelo Ball's departure, according to Cholo Magsino of Yahoo Sports.
updated Jun 25, 5:07PM UTC · 25d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.5%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+20.9%
Predicted Value
24.0 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts80.5%—59.5%1.24+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Brandon Miller (Charlotte Hornets) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets head to Orlando, all eyes will be on Brandon Miller, but betting on him to hit the Over on 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems risky. In his last five outings, Miller has averaged just 18.2 points and 3.4 rebounds, falling short of this combined total. His away game stats paint a similar picture, with averages dipping to 15.4 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.6 assists. Against the Magic, he's only managed around 17.6 points on average, and his recent performances signal a struggle to find his rhythm on the road. With the Magic's defense poised to pressure him, it's telling that Miller has hit the Under in six of his last six away games. Given the expected stat value of 24.05, it's wise to consider the Under for this matchup, as he's likely to be contained once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.6avg · last 10
L53.8Szn3.9Home4.2Away3.5Best8
2+93%
3+78%
4+41%
5+33%
6+22%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.6 · hi 6 · lo 2
5343246333

Brandon Miller is averaging 3.6 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.9, best 8). He clears 4+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.8avg · last 10
L54.4Szn3.6Home3.5Away3.8Best9
2+85%
4+48%
6+19%
8+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.8 · hi 9 · lo 1
3153492263

Brandon Miller is averaging 3.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.6, best 9). He clears 4+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
20.4avg · last 10
L518.8Szn21.0Home22.5Away19.7Best38
11+89%
16+74%
21+48%
26+30%
31+15%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 20.4 · hi 26 · lo 12
26252621121824131920

Brandon Miller is averaging 20.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.0, best 38). He clears 21+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
24.2avg · last 10
L523.2Szn24.7Home25.9Away23.5Best42
15+93%
20+74%
25+44%
30+26%
35+19%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 24.2 · hi 31 · lo 15
29263124162726152523

Brandon Miller is averaging 24.2 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.7, best 42). He clears 25+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
24.7avg · last 10
L522.2Szn25.9Home27.6Away24.3Best45
16+89%
21+70%
26+52%
31+30%
36+15%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 24.7 · hi 32 · lo 16
32293227162126162325

Brandon Miller is averaging 24.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.9, best 45). He clears 26+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
28.5avg · last 10
L526.6Szn29.5Home31.1Away28.1Best49
20+85%
25+74%
30+48%
35+30%
40+15%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 28.5 · hi 37 · lo 18
35303730203028182928

Brandon Miller is averaging 28.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 29.5, best 49). He clears 30+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.3avg · last 10
L53.4Szn4.9Home5.2Away4.6Best11
1+100%
3+85%
5+48%
7+19%
9+7%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.3 · hi 6 · lo 2
6466432345

Brandon Miller is averaging 4.3 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.9, best 11). He clears 5+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
8.1avg · last 10
L57.8Szn8.5Home8.6Away8.4Best14
2+100%
5+85%
8+67%
11+26%
14+7%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 8.1 · hi 12 · lo 4
9511981245108

Brandon Miller is averaging 8.1 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.5, best 14). He clears 8+ in 67% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.6avg · last 10
L51.0Szn1.1Home1.1Away1.1Best4
1+63%
2+30%
3+11%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.6 · hi 3 · lo 0
0001010103

Brandon Miller is averaging 0.6 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 4). He clears 1+ in 63% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 30.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 29.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 26.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brandon Miller (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Miller is Under 30.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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